Premier League · resolved market
Millwall FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0c18248effc36241ee711010ae990dbf16a89e0f5130d7f303fe43a5ee17dfd7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,021
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,021 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 56c | 1,188$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.55 | 506 | 44.3%224 W · 282 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 60c | 997.43$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.37 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Over | 42c | 715.64$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.12 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under | 57c | 713$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.41 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 44c | 618.01$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.09 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 43c | 560$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.2 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe56…593abacked Under | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b8…e32bbacked Under | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | +150%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcd…445ebacked Under | 9c | 499.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x750b…609fbacked Under | 9c | 400$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 10cpaid | +163.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dc…a4a1backed Under | 9c | 400$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x417e…85e4backed Under | 9c | 400$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Over | 41c | 332.95$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.86 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 44c | 279.55$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.55 | 321 | 64.5%207 W · 114 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafc4…daa1backed Under | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 12cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…fc8abacked Under | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 596 | 45.5%271 W · 325 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 44c | 66.47$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.51 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 71c | 60$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.6 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8a…8775backed Under | 71c | 54.76$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.88 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 27c | 46.21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.72 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6af…b5efbacked Over | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 82 | 63.4%52 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Over | 44c | 39.93$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.36 | 365 | 54.5%199 W · 166 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Over | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b5e…f343backed Over | 44c | 28.43$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 42c | 27.21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.78 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7a3…ff05backed Under | 58c | 27.14$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9a…fbf3backed Under | 57c | 19.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d61…96c5backed Under | 75c | 14.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Millwall FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Millwall FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Millwall FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Millwall FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Millwall FC (-1.5)Blackburn Rovers FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.