Tennis · resolved market
Bengaluru 2: Amit Vales vs Aditya Balsekar
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0c2a01da4dc521a6b123ffdacd101ac3f5891aea87f27cbc56942f6ba96fd342
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Amit Valesof Amit Vales, Aditya Balsekar
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,916
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,532
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,916 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Aditya Balsekar | 7c | 6,702$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.66 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Aditya Balsekar | 17c | 4,054$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.9 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0b…9672backed Aditya Balsekar | 15c | 3,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 231 | 26%60 W · 171 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Aditya Balsekar | 24c | 999.91$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.98 | 856 | 34.2%293 W · 563 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Aditya Balsekar | 17c | 613.23$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.75 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6e…99eabacked Aditya Balsekar | 25c | 424.37$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.09 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -6.7wins | -0.27per pick | 43cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Amit Vales | 77c | 396.94$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.03 | 538 | 43.5%234 W · 304 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Aditya Balsekar | 13c | 327.6$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.07 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Aditya Balsekar | 9c | 299.95$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.49 | 174 | 36.8%64 W · 110 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Aditya Balsekar | 9c | 283.71$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.43 | 131 | 51.9%68 W · 63 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Aditya Balsekar | 29c | 263.17$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.08 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Aditya Balsekar | 8c | 207$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 567 | 44.6%253 W · 314 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Amit Vales | 71c | 164$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.85 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Aditya Balsekar | 24c | 141.21$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.89 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Amit Vales | 76c | 124.13$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 1,174 | 51.9%609 W · 565 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Aditya Balsekar | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe658…2c42backed Aditya Balsekar | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 398 | 42.2%168 W · 230 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed Aditya Balsekar | 25c | 99.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,076 | 55.5%597 W · 479 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Aditya Balsekar | 20c | 91.38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 2,049 | 46.8%958 W · 1,091 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Amit Vales | 76c | 52.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27cf…979abacked Amit Vales | 76c | 50.21$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.05 | 181 | 48.1%87 W · 94 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e45…39dabacked Aditya Balsekar | 26c | 44.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 185 | 51.9%96 W · 89 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…7159backed Aditya Balsekar | 24c | 42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 903 | 40.2%363 W · 540 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Amit Vales | 76c | 30.39$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.29 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x692c…aadebacked Amit Vales | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e0…a311backed Amit Vales | 75c | 16.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.09 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.