Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will IK Start win on 2026-07-12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0c9657e4b871965ff1e89285cd75781aa4f2bef7b78f4e335838add3b5072ae9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,139
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,763
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,139 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 23c | 2,067$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.85 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 22c | 1,892$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.76 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 72c | 1,536$1,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.29 | 447 | 68%304 W · 143 L | +52.8wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 64c | 1,503$956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.89 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 12c | 1,291$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.34 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x425e…ecfabacked Yes | 28c | 1,072$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.16 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +5.8wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6415…e022backed No | 55c | 909.36$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 44c | 776.5$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.21 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x002f…92f3backed No | 80c | 625$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 75c | 520.83$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.95 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0482…f72abacked No | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb20d…83aebacked Yes | 14c | 380$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 20c | 364.46$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.89 | 138 | 60.1%83 W · 55 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2890…49ebbacked Yes | 26c | 293.85$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c5c…91fcbacked No | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 25c | 181$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a96…b71dbacked Yes | 20c | 117$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 108 | 17.6%19 W · 89 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Yes | 33c | 110$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.05 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Yes | 28c | 104.09$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.81 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 136 | 15.4%21 W · 115 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaef0…b68abacked No | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9016…7c89backed No | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 24c | 86.02$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Yes | 24c | 80$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -9.8wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 27c | 70$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.94 | 233 | 48.1%112 W · 121 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 25c | 68$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Yes | 41c | 58.63$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.04 | 184 | 50.5%93 W · 91 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed No | 66c | 54.09$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.63 | 107 | 70.1%75 W · 32 L | +19.6wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x54da…1facbacked No | 54c | 49$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.54 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Yes | 21c | 47.7$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 338 | 58.6%198 W · 140 L | +30.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed No | 67c | 39.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 80c | 28.22$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 237 | 43.9%104 W · 133 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed No | 62c | 22.62$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.65 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will IK Start win on 2026-07-12?this page
- Will SK Brann vs. IK Start end in a draw?No won
- Will SK Brann win on 2026-07-12?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.