CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs Back to Back - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0cfcf2ddb1d718140c47354dd6262f3b62bc2cbd223f3a2a8fff19e3671f2c4a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Back to Back of Yawara Esports, Back to Back
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,520
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,520 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Yawara Esports | 59c | 3,925$2,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,321.97 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Back to Back | 53c | 2,381$1,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,113.36 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Back to Back | 50c | 2,347$1,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,174.67 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yawara Esports | 42c | 1,580$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.43 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x567e…e8fbbacked Yawara Esports | 41c | 511.67$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.34 | 219 | 39.7%87 W · 132 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Yawara Esports | 45c | 409.39$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.29 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Back to Back | 60c | 254.27$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.49 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Yawara Esports | 7c | 250$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Yawara Esports | 42c | 236.79$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.28 | 470 | 53.2%250 W · 220 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Yawara Esports | 41c | 198.09$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.44 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Back to Back | 45c | 196.59$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.66 | 172 | 30.8%53 W · 119 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb69f…d51cbacked Yawara Esports | 36c | 184.83$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.54 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…07e5backed Yawara Esports | 45c | 172.53$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.84 | 324 | 43.5%141 W · 183 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadf8…1e82backed Yawara Esports | 41c | 154$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.48 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Back to Back | 40c | 116.59$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.08 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Yawara Esports | 46c | 100.55$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.81 | 958 | 49.8%477 W · 481 L | -17.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c77…6747backed Yawara Esports | 39c | 82.47$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.16 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | -16.7wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked Back to Back | 62c | 80.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.38 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yawara Esports | 61c | 80.12$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.97 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Back to Back | 54c | 72.33$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.05 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed Back to Back | 51c | 70.5$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.29 | 493 | 76.1%375 W · 118 L | +96.8wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Back to Back | 72c | 41.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 124 | 69.4%86 W · 38 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Yawara Esports | 47c | 40.62$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.26 | 459 | 56.9%261 W · 198 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Yawara Esports | 45c | 38.71$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.42 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Yawara Esports | 43c | 23.9$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 93 | 26.9%25 W · 68 L | -10.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2b0b…94d1backed Back to Back | 53c | 19.19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x955f…2e25backed Back to Back | 66c | 15.27$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.19 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs Back to Back - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs Back to Back (BO3) - CCT South America Series #10 PlayoffsBack to Back won
- Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs Back to Back - Map 2 WinnerBack to Back won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.