CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs Back to Back - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf274b692d7e96b4dac207e6f3e98bdb3b5955d5462c776be4b1c802aa8919892
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Back to Back of Yawara Esports, Back to Back
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,609
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,609 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Back to Back | 79c | 1,678$1,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.15 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yawara Esports | 21c | 1,044$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.27 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Back to Back | 59c | 571.93$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.25 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Back to Back | 56c | 542.32$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.32 | 412 | 60.9%251 W · 161 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f62…980abacked Yawara Esports | 14c | 358.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed Yawara Esports | 50c | 328.09$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 215 | 28.8%62 W · 153 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yawara Esports | 40c | 302.29$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.16 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Yawara Esports | 17c | 299.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.34 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Yawara Esports | 23c | 265.34$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.73 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Yawara Esports | 33c | 219.2$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.74 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4687…8d42backed Back to Back | 73c | 216.54$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.45 | 529 | 47.1%249 W · 280 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Back to Back | 65c | 168$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.16 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yawara Esports | 46c | 157.73$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.13 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed Yawara Esports | 39c | 139.79$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.52 | 227 | 61.7%140 W · 87 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Back to Back | 61c | 120.42$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.48 | 124 | 69.4%86 W · 38 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a0…2212backed Yawara Esports | 41c | 117.88$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Yawara Esports | 53c | 105.5$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yawara Esports | 32c | 100.64$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 224 | 47.8%107 W · 117 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7244…b819backed Back to Back | 62c | 96.77$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.77 | 148 | 53.4%79 W · 69 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed Back to Back | 69c | 95.26$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.47 | 219 | 56.2%123 W · 96 L | +14.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked Back to Back | 57c | 85.64$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.54 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…07e5backed Yawara Esports | 41c | 61.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.4 | 324 | 43.5%141 W · 183 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc73…8b36backed Back to Back | 45c | 55.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yawara Esports | 24c | 55.34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.47 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Back to Back | 80c | 49.83$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.97 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd2…648cbacked Back to Back | 51c | 48.84$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.84 | 143 | 51.7%74 W · 69 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Yawara Esports | 48c | 37.48$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.02 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…a1d3backed Back to Back | 70c | 31.43$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 265 | 64.2%170 W · 95 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefd1…e5d1backed Yawara Esports | 51c | 30.73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Back to Back | 49c | 23.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.86 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Back to Back | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.9 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs Back to Back - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs Back to Back (BO3) - CCT South America Series #10 PlayoffsBack to Back won
- Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs Back to Back - Map 1 WinnerBack to Back won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.