Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: North Carolina Tar Heels (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0d047492d8fef6a932cd391f7467d8f0a5ee9771391cbd1cc30ff05b83af85ba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ohio State Buckeyesof North Carolina Tar Heels, Ohio State Buckeyes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,696
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,697
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,696 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 55c | 4,554$2,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,519.08 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Ohio State Buckeyes | 47c | 3,126$1,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,654.79 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Ohio State Buckeyes | 44c | 2,994$1,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,674.99 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 54c | 2,500$1,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,337.5 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Ohio State Buckeyes | 42c | 350$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 47c | 254$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.77 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 58c | 245$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | -12.1wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 505 | 46.9%237 W · 268 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Ohio State Buckeyes | 43c | 141$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.87 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Ohio State Buckeyes | 48c | 138$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.9 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 43c | 98.62$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.21 | 490 | 43.1%211 W · 279 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10b…2041backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 45c | 88.02$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.02 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 57c | 79.46$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.17 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0104…530ebacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 56c | 75.77$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.43 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Ohio State Buckeyes | 48c | 68.75$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.75 | 83 | 59%49 W · 34 L | +11.5wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7c…666cbacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…086ebacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 57c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x581b…f083backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 47c | 37.66$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.96 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: North Carolina Tar Heels (-2.5)this page
- North Carolina Tar Heels vs. Ohio State BuckeyesNorth Carolina Tar Heels won
- North Carolina Tar Heels vs. Ohio State Buckeyes: O/U 156.5Under won
- North Carolina Tar Heels vs. Ohio State Buckeyes: O/U 158.5Under won
- Spread: North Carolina Tar Heels (-4.5)Ohio State Buckeyes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.