Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
North Carolina Tar Heels vs. Ohio State Buckeyes
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa0233b3b622e54158e6b9b7dc083c586ad81375495163feb93b246d15f7539b9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- North Carolina Tar Heelsof North Carolina Tar Heels, Ohio State Buckeyes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,132
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,130
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,132 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 63c | 2,694$1,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010.24 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 60c | 2,500$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Ohio State Buckeyes | 27c | 1,886$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 21c | 1,846$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.84 | 86 | 39.5%34 W · 52 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Ohio State Buckeyes | 21c | 1,805$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.48 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Ohio State Buckeyes | 39c | 1,695$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.77 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f61…9131backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 17c | 1,581$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.03 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Ohio State Buckeyes | 39c | 700.2$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.76 | 294 | 44.6%131 W · 163 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 78c | 683.42$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.72 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 33c | 615.35$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.35 | 124 | 35.5%44 W · 80 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77e1…5924backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 4c | 600$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 7cpaid | +101%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Ohio State Buckeyes | 38c | 598.09$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.92 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…66abbacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 64c | 554.69$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.69 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 16c | 529.37$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.28 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 39c | 516.35$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.44 | 210 | 50%105 W · 105 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Ohio State Buckeyes | 36c | 500$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Ohio State Buckeyes | 36c | 418.78$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.76 | 163 | 41.7%68 W · 95 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 32c | 398$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.28 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 66c | 386.47$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.6 | 98 | 71.4%70 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 43c | 375.97$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.95 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c0…69d0backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 30c | 309.82$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.3 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Ohio State Buckeyes | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.85 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x696a…e23abacked Ohio State Buckeyes | 36c | 266.25$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.85 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 29c | 250$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.18 | 154 | 42.9%66 W · 88 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85b9…d1abbacked Ohio State Buckeyes | 65c | 243.27$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.3 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 32c | 241.78$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.63 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5441…da3bbacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 60c | 208.28$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 79c | 207.5$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.3 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2862…b2ddbacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 109 | 39.4%43 W · 66 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | +12.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25ed…3e98backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 63c | 190.48$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.48 | 136 | 50.7%69 W · 67 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 32c | 163.08$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.66 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 65c | 155.91$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.33 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1758…5d73backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 61c | 152.03$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.69 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e24…b31fbacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 63c | 142.86$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.86 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 21c | 140$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.37 | 556 | 57.4%319 W · 237 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Ohio State Buckeyes | 38c | 137.67$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.25 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 39c | 136$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.04 | 415 | 54.2%225 W · 190 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3466…aa04backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 70c | 127.14$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | -8.2wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 59c | 125.2$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.64 | 480 | 51%245 W · 235 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 484 | 62.8%304 W · 180 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b2…9ac1backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 69c | 119.68$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.68 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3d…c184backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 69c | 118.06$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.76 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Ohio State Buckeyes | 23c | 112.24$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.06 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 20c | 105$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 643 | 22.9%147 W · 496 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 65c | 102.93$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.84 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 254 | 38.2%97 W · 157 L | -14.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 77c | 98.57$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.92 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5127…f137backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe490…8e6cbacked Ohio State Buckeyes | 43c | 82.98$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.68 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 76c | 76.87$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.61 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 536 | 35.6%191 W · 345 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 37c | 61$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.57 | 490 | 43.1%211 W · 279 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa458…7141backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 33c | 60.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x156f…6887backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 74c | 47.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.57 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 70c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.43 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 55 | 70.9%39 W · 16 L | +7.4wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa3cb…8d89backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- North Carolina Tar Heels vs. Ohio State Buckeyesthis page
- North Carolina Tar Heels vs. Ohio State Buckeyes: O/U 156.5Under won
- North Carolina Tar Heels vs. Ohio State Buckeyes: O/U 158.5Under won
- Spread: North Carolina Tar Heels (-2.5)Ohio State Buckeyes won
- Spread: North Carolina Tar Heels (-4.5)Ohio State Buckeyes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.