Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2025-10-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0d156abc379ef7ee281006969f786a987b36ac8f35d95ec00932063941612f9e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $73,666
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $73,570
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,666 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 34c | 49,999$17,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,999.57 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 64c | 24,614$15,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,945.93 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed No | 68c | 20,000$13,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,400 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6053…3a85backed Yes | 31c | 10,883$3,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,353.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 69c | 9,534$6,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,984.09 | 113 | 55.8%63 W · 50 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 64c | 5,000$3,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,803.97 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 64c | 2,579$1,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.01 | 215 | 60%129 W · 86 L | +15.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 54c | 1,955$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$904.3 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 47c | 1,826$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$967.72 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…dd84backed Yes | 44c | 1,167$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes | 53c | 1,034$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 52c | 911.82$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.4 | 231 | 53.2%123 W · 108 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Yes | 50c | 901.1$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.3 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 20c | 720$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.7 | 202 | 32.7%66 W · 136 L | -10.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked Yes | 50c | 643.41$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.71 | 75 | 29.3%22 W · 53 L | -14.8wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 44c | 600$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.03 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked No | 73c | 581.29$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.62 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4021…956abacked Yes | 51c | 355.74$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 50c | 343.12$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.1 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed No | 77c | 312$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.39 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked Yes | 50c | 301.4$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7aba…7442backed Yes | 32c | 250$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4114…b9acbacked Yes | 51c | 210.77$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.49 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +58%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Yes | 52c | 197.39$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -4.3wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 143 | 40.6%58 W · 85 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed No | 77c | 166.92$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.39 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Yes | 51c | 155.59$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.67 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Yes | 49c | 125.18$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.34 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef41…2473backed Yes | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x467e…c62dbacked Yes | 27c | 88.89$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.35per pick | 49cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes | 48c | 82.69$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Yes | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…3fddbacked Yes | 33c | 75.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 59c | 75$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.75 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 54c | 75$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 70 | 68.6%48 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Yes | 50c | 70.96$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.48 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 58c | 70$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +5.6wins | +0.24per pick | 45cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe505…fadbbacked No | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes | 50c | 58$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe5…ac12backed Yes | 51c | 50.02$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Yes | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4f…c4f2backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0909…91cabacked Yes | 44c | 49.57$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.81 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed No | 72c | 47.6$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde5a…2875backed Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4644…a2b6backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9f…f4afbacked Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77ad…be51backed Yes | 45c | 31.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c9…c452backed No | 72c | 23.83$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +59%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa98d…745ebacked No | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 48c | 23.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.29 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…e758backed Yes | 51c | 21.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb9…38c1backed Yes | 52c | 20.02$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…f9e9backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x970a…4d1ebacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b2…c96abacked Yes | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2025-10-04?this page
- Will FC Nantes win on 2025-10-04?No won
- Will Stade Brestois 29 vs. FC Nantes end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.