Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: DOGSENT vs Spirit Academy - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0d1c959b7dedf53f73b9ce5aa60f17505d77e34d6f063ed576972529e47ce37d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- DOGSENTof DOGSENT, Spirit Academy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,768
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,685
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,768 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Spirit Academy | 51c | 4,583$2,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,347.08 | 150 | 47.3%71 W · 79 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f72…adc6backed DOGSENT | 45c | 2,800$1,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,537.53 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed DOGSENT | 51c | 2,709$1,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,337.44 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd6…5f73backed DOGSENT | 51c | 1,286$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.81 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc192…086cbacked DOGSENT | 51c | 788.73$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.73 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed DOGSENT | 43c | 600$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342 | 360 | 54.4%196 W · 164 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Spirit Academy | 33c | 600$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Spirit Academy | 10c | 240$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a55…c349backed DOGSENT | 53c | 66$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.02 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed DOGSENT | 46c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 479 | 51.8%248 W · 231 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1963…8122backed Spirit Academy | 61c | 49.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.49 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | -9.6wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked DOGSENT | 38c | 39.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.46 | 305 | 43%131 W · 174 L | +18.2wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x084b…3de6backed DOGSENT | 50c | 37.17$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.68 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed DOGSENT | 66c | 32$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.76 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: DOGSENT vs Spirit Academy - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: DOGSENT vs Spirit Academy (BO3) - EPL Championship PlayoffsDOGSENT won
- Dota 2: DOGSENT vs Spirit Academy - Game 1 WinnerDOGSENT won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.