Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: DOGSENT vs Spirit Academy (BO3) - EPL Championship Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x55cf6adeaf70241c968d82cd93ffb0bc9776f8b9c558ec0d797f829a91a40f53
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- DOGSENTof DOGSENT, Spirit Academy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,062
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,062
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,062 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5a07…ce91backed Spirit Academy | 33c | 285.22$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.45 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed DOGSENT | 49c | 269.97$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.68 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79c6…4cf3backed DOGSENT | 45c | 218$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.9 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked DOGSENT | 42c | 217.39$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.13 | 562 | 43.2%243 W · 319 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked DOGSENT | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Spirit Academy | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 344 | 43.9%151 W · 193 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked Spirit Academy | 56c | 179.02$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 462 | 40.7%188 W · 274 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1621…572cbacked DOGSENT | 74c | 127.61$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.65 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.19per pick | 63cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed DOGSENT | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | +12.2wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked DOGSENT | 49c | 119.36$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.23 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Spirit Academy | 22c | 117.9$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.77 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7bb…0fd6backed DOGSENT | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Spirit Academy | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Spirit Academy | 44c | 88.18$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.87 | 150 | 47.3%71 W · 79 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Spirit Academy | 51c | 85.35$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.53 | 208 | 38.9%81 W · 127 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x084b…3de6backed DOGSENT | 47c | 77.87$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.27 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Spirit Academy | 28c | 59.35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.82 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed DOGSENT | 42c | 55.23$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.23 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1963…8122backed Spirit Academy | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | -9.6wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Spirit Academy | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 107 | 66.4%71 W · 36 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked DOGSENT | 45c | 49$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.95 | 200 | 46%92 W · 108 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Spirit Academy | 51c | 46.93$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.05 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Spirit Academy | 58c | 37.93$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 466 | 64.2%299 W · 167 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked DOGSENT | 65c | 35.03$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.36 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9810…b0debacked DOGSENT | 48c | 27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: DOGSENT vs Spirit Academy (BO3) - EPL Championship Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: DOGSENT vs Spirit Academy - Game 1 WinnerDOGSENT won
- Dota 2: DOGSENT vs Spirit Academy - Game 2 WinnerDOGSENT won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.