South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Lanús vs. CA Central Córdoba end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0d2a585e311ed0e629a044c3e973b3f735a7a3963a1f58074466850efc9cc8eb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,833
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,496
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,833 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 30c | 1,977$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,393.49 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17e2…d472backed Yes | 37c | 1,035$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.06 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 67c | 900.19$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.28 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 65c | 499.99$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 66c | 464.49$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.48 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc00c…5fe1backed No | 63c | 402.48$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.56 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 68c | 401.53$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.1 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 63c | 334.17$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.03 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac45…844fbacked Yes | 35c | 137.29$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.24 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +85.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 35c | 137.29$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.24 | 212 | 52.4%111 W · 101 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 58c | 121.85$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.49 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac7…1ad5backed No | 10c | 117.21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 29c | 99.04$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.32 | 187 | 33.2%62 W · 125 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Yes | 37c | 77.08$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.62 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked No | 73c | 73.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.86 | 258 | 64.3%166 W · 92 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 37c | 65$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.05 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked No | 44c | 54.91$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.16 | 126 | 45.2%57 W · 69 L | -10.7wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Yes | 35c | 49.35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.91 | 235 | 51.5%121 W · 114 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14b7…a035backed No | 51c | 49.12$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.28 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8514…cbb0backed No | 42c | 46.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 39c | 41.08$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.97 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed No | 76c | 38.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.57 | 172 | 61%105 W · 67 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8801…f667backed Yes | 44c | 36.42$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 63cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 45c | 36.36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.36 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62c5…bf75backed Yes | 55c | 35.38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.92 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +47%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 77c | 34.26$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.36 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 77c | 31.75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.44 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e65…b28bbacked Yes | 63c | 31.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.73 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed No | 73c | 25.7$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.77 | 197 | 61.9%122 W · 75 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3092…c9a8backed No | 64c | 22.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -5.5wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x96af…3e21backed Yes | 68c | 22.36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc86b…675cbacked No | 76c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed No | 69c | 19.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.51 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Lanús vs. CA Central Córdoba end in a draw?this page
- Will CA Central Córdoba win on 2026-04-24?No won
- Will CA Lanús win on 2026-04-24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.