NHL · resolved market
KHL: Dinamo Minsk vs. Admiral Vladivostok
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0d2d6d82067d84a1e4ab9a7716535566d31965ca742de1fb0220eea23a686a8f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dinamo Minskof Dinamo Minsk, Admiral Vladivostok
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,312
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,371
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,312 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 10 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Admiral Vladivostok | 19c | 1,636$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.69 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Admiral Vladivostok | 17c | 1,500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 360 | 38.6%139 W · 221 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Admiral Vladivostok | 18c | 1,400$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.07 | 533 | 37.5%200 W · 333 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Admiral Vladivostok | 17c | 600$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Dinamo Minsk | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 275 | 47.6%131 W · 144 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Admiral Vladivostok | 15c | 185.6$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.84 | 224 | 43.3%97 W · 127 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Admiral Vladivostok | 21c | 149.22$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.27 | 550 | 48.2%265 W · 285 L | -11.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…b47fbacked Admiral Vladivostok | 22c | 147.23$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x080b…0350backed Admiral Vladivostok | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec66…5b04backed Dinamo Minsk | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.