Other European Leagues · resolved market
CD Santa Clara vs. Vitória SC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0d3d2a29522561ed6a369577ad7766bdae828c34a1642c2b4186314aff8003c7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,043
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,043 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Over | 38c | 7,844$2,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,980.87 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 62c | 4,912$3,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,861.91 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 51c | 4,264$2,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,088.4 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 63c | 3,570$2,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320.79 | 376 | 41.5%156 W · 220 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…d7a0backed Over | 42c | 2,470$1,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,037.4 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 62c | 1,812$1,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.75 | 435 | 46.7%203 W · 232 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 42c | 1,326$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.53 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…30fcbacked Under | 63c | 1,136$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.77 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Over | 36c | 913.4$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.78 | 123 | 19.5%24 W · 99 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 37c | 824.03$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.89 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4178…c0d2backed Over | 67c | 631.87$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Over | 47c | 630.3$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.33 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 72c | 503$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.16 | 220 | 54.1%119 W · 101 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Over | 37c | 500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4052…0014backed Over | 54c | 467.01$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 70c | 428.57$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 316 | 61.7%195 W · 121 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…2b04backed Under | 41c | 399.99$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x138d…3bd4backed Under | 37c | 334.48$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.64 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 62c | 322.63$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.7 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 223 | 49.3%110 W · 113 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8090…42c1backed Under | 64c | 195.31$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.31 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad9…3cb4backed Under | 62c | 159.68$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.68 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Under | 32c | 159.38$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.38 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 62c | 155$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.9 | 237 | 46.8%111 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 37c | 150.4$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.65 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33c8…68d7backed Over | 40c | 150$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 178 | 50.6%90 W · 88 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 36c | 134.75$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.99 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7baf…99a7backed Over | 27c | 116.17$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 44 | 15.9%7 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Over | 40c | 112.69$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2344…3dbebacked Under | 63c | 111.7$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.7 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed Over | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 124 | 40.3%50 W · 74 L | +11.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb53e…1aa3backed Over | 39c | 92.87$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.22 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.37per pick | 50cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Over | 21c | 67.21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 36c | 54.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 64c | 53.52$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.25 | 437 | 21.7%95 W · 342 L | -49.3wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Under | 60c | 52.5$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90b5…4e3dbacked Under | 39c | 43.5$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.43 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Over | 37c | 37.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…d420backed Over | 38c | 37.17$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.27per pick | 57cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd0…31c9backed Under | 42c | 35.52$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.52 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 46c | 34.15$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Over | 41c | 31.91$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6229…1743backed Over | 34c | 29.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 33cpaid | -76.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed Under | 43c | 23.46$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.28 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 24cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Under | 62c | 19.46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 57 | 77.2%44 W · 13 L | +9.4wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Under | 62c | 19.46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 78 | 61.5%48 W · 30 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 61c | 16.98$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.62 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CD Santa Clara vs. Vitória SC: O/U 2.5this page
- CD Santa Clara vs. Vitória SC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CD Santa Clara vs. Vitória SC: O/U 1.5Over won
- CD Santa Clara vs. Vitória SC: O/U 3.5Under won
- CD Santa Clara vs. Vitória SC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CD Santa Clara (-1.5)CD Santa Clara won
- Spread: Vitória SC (-1.5)CD Santa Clara won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.