Other European Leagues · resolved market
CD Santa Clara vs. Vitória SC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x224dbf60838b1b572997ecd7bfbf98020f51b72b2ece764fb3f2c6abe46daf56
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,306
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,306 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 36c | 1,291$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.65 | 376 | 41.5%156 W · 220 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Over | 64c | 414$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.04 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 65c | 411.82$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.6 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe42d…62febacked Over | 65c | 220$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 73cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 35c | 196.94$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.93 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 64c | 131.69$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.9 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Under | 28c | 90$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd162…72aabacked Over | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 113 | 59.3%67 W · 46 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 64c | 57.05$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.57 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 37c | 32.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf6…b36dbacked Over | 64c | 29.28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19fa…83d2backed Under | 37c | 27.84$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a6…3402backed Over | 64c | 27.55$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +82.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 63c | 19.85$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.34 | 435 | 46.7%203 W · 232 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CD Santa Clara vs. Vitória SC: O/U 1.5this page
- CD Santa Clara vs. Vitória SC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CD Santa Clara vs. Vitória SC: O/U 2.5Under won
- CD Santa Clara vs. Vitória SC: O/U 3.5Under won
- CD Santa Clara vs. Vitória SC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CD Santa Clara (-1.5)CD Santa Clara won
- Spread: Vitória SC (-1.5)CD Santa Clara won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.