Tennis · resolved market
ITF Bergamo: Filiberto Fumagalli vs Lorenzo Bocchi
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0da2f9030affc8c002bf537af35ca55a5badd35a24085bc44d9e948fb0e68017
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Filiberto Fumagalliof Filiberto Fumagalli, Lorenzo Bocchi
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,847
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,997
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,847 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Lorenzo Bocchi | 46c | 2,413$1,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,098.43 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Filiberto Fumagalli | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Filiberto Fumagalli | 56c | 523.6$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.73 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Lorenzo Bocchi | 39c | 287.77$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.84 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Lorenzo Bocchi | 43c | 286.43$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.51 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Filiberto Fumagalli | 53c | 258$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.14 | 727 | 55.6%404 W · 323 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Filiberto Fumagalli | 45c | 237.14$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.54 | 652 | 59.4%387 W · 265 L | +31.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Lorenzo Bocchi | 14c | 175.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.51 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Lorenzo Bocchi | 22c | 106$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.04 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Filiberto Fumagalli | 55c | 68.18$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.68 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked Filiberto Fumagalli | 53c | 55$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.85 | 273 | 53.1%145 W · 128 L | +12.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Filiberto Fumagalli | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 403 | 50.6%204 W · 199 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Filiberto Fumagalli | 53c | 49.94$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.47 | 551 | 49.7%274 W · 277 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Lorenzo Bocchi | 43c | 33.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.18 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…ab36backed Filiberto Fumagalli | 53c | 27.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.08 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed Filiberto Fumagalli | 53c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 349 | 57.9%202 W · 147 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4787…db20backed Filiberto Fumagalli | 54c | 19.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 282 | 64.2%181 W · 101 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.