CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: 2007 vs Lilmix (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series#3 Group D
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0dda35c53a13c129c2e6d9c491f5382bb46a457d3f634e3ee9b5553b8f0cb43b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 2007of 2007, Lilmix
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,884
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,212
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,884 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x98e5…f069backed 2007 | 57c | 1,850$1,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.5 | 147 | 63.9%94 W · 53 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc386…386fbacked Lilmix | 43c | 820$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.6 | 259 | 44.8%116 W · 143 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +30%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…5c4cbacked Lilmix | 43c | 756.37$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.24 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked Lilmix | 43c | 404.97$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.14 | 345 | 42.3%146 W · 199 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed 2007 | 57c | 399.99$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.25 | 640 | 58.1%372 W · 268 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x824f…69bdbacked 2007 | 53c | 310.62$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.14 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Lilmix | 46c | 267.74$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.39 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc8…f527backed Lilmix | 24c | 209.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 488 | 26.2%128 W · 360 L | -44.3wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked 2007 | 72c | 181.59$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.81 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed 2007 | 36c | 165.62$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.15 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Lilmix | 39c | 142.28$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.03 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2690…4089backed Lilmix | 43c | 110$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.3 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33a8…210ebacked 2007 | 74c | 108.11$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.11 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.19per pick | 58cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe275…2450backed Lilmix | 43c | 105$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 82 | 35.4%29 W · 53 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31d1…a9f7backed Lilmix | 26c | 80$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 86 | 39.5%34 W · 52 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x476e…cfb9backed Lilmix | 65c | 63$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.87 | 197 | 62.9%124 W · 73 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Lilmix | 63c | 46.35$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 1,043 | 57.3%598 W · 445 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ad…7889backed Lilmix | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdd…0ecdbacked 2007 | 73c | 41.29$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.29 | 329 | 56.8%187 W · 142 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe18d…9c5bbacked Lilmix | 67c | 40$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 159 | 51.6%82 W · 77 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc62a…76b5backed Lilmix | 42c | 38.42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 160 | 48.8%78 W · 82 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Lilmix | 27c | 37.17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe07b…b7c9backed Lilmix | 62c | 27.76$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.21 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aae…0da3backed 2007 | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 142 | 55.6%79 W · 63 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb52b…9646backed 2007 | 56c | 18.73$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.24 | 220 | 59.1%130 W · 90 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: 2007 vs Lilmix (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series#3 Group Dthis page
- Counter-Strike: 2007 vs Lilmix - Map 2 Winner2007 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.