Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Pepperdine Waves vs. Cal State Fullerton Titans
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0de4d9e25ca8b7214057d4ac999d1fd74b9c10ccacde05a98085aca4f7bc19f4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cal State Fullerton Titansof Pepperdine Waves, Cal State Fullerton Titans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,278
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,107
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,278 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Cal State Fullerton Titans | 46c | 5,025$2,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,699.98 | 556 | 57.4%319 W · 237 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Pepperdine Waves | 53c | 2,476$1,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,317.37 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Cal State Fullerton Titans | 45c | 2,414$1,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,328.53 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Pepperdine Waves | 55c | 1,920$1,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,055.47 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Pepperdine Waves | 51c | 1,819$934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.42 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Pepperdine Waves | 51c | 1,062$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.62 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Pepperdine Waves | 54c | 950$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6723…a540backed Cal State Fullerton Titans | 49c | 873.31$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.11 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Pepperdine Waves | 11c | 320$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.7 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cal State Fullerton Titans | 43c | 299.99$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed Pepperdine Waves | 53c | 235.09$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.6 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Pepperdine Waves | 54c | 200$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.5 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf84…a7b5backed Pepperdine Waves | 11c | 198.06$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Pepperdine Waves | 53c | 190$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.7 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Cal State Fullerton Titans | 46c | 183.92$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.32 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Pepperdine Waves | 16c | 150$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 643 | 22.9%147 W · 496 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cdd…3d13backed Pepperdine Waves | 53c | 115$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Cal State Fullerton Titans | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.7 | 76 | 26.3%20 W · 56 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…ec91backed Cal State Fullerton Titans | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked Cal State Fullerton Titans | 47c | 72$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.06 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8460…0c1fbacked Pepperdine Waves | 53c | 63.98$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Pepperdine Waves | 53c | 62.64$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.1 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2382…4628backed Pepperdine Waves | 52c | 48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 140 | 35%49 W · 91 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x005d…feb3backed Pepperdine Waves | 53c | 42.19$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed Cal State Fullerton Titans | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ace…68d2backed Cal State Fullerton Titans | 49c | 36.37$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +105.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce0a…2d88backed Pepperdine Waves | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd46b…44e9backed Pepperdine Waves | 53c | 26.47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cal State Fullerton Titans | 46c | 22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2e…6200backed Pepperdine Waves | 53c | 21.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a39…3577backed Pepperdine Waves | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4186…bb70backed Pepperdine Waves | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Pepperdine Waves | 57c | 18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 658 | 25.7%169 W · 489 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.