La Liga · resolved market
Will UD Almería vs. FC Andorra end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0e82df826aa9b636c8220a747560b093efe1e4283912e85c4c6c56ce344312e9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,326
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,752
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,326 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 78c | 3,932$3,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.61 | 490 | 57.1%280 W · 210 L | +26.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 72c | 2,842$2,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.29 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9f3…0979backed Yes | 25c | 1,414$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 16c | 1,233$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.27 | 1,421 | 45.7%649 W · 772 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 65c | 769.74$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.51 | 4,753 | 47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L | -21.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…87b5backed Yes | 63c | 451.98$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.47 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +90.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 144 | 27.8%40 W · 104 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 76c | 256.14$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.47 | 2,347 | 48.5%1,138 W · 1,209 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…d90ebacked No | 79c | 242.16$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.54 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 35c | 240.8$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.39 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 70c | 231.02$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.67 | 351 | 45.6%160 W · 191 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked No | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…04b5backed No | 41c | 185.8$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.05 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.32per pick | 54cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 140 | 23.6%33 W · 107 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a5d…e3f4backed Yes | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -4.5wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -32%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 627 | 44.3%278 W · 349 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 15c | 99.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 190 | 42.1%80 W · 110 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbad…0661backed Yes | 61c | 89.87$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 60c | 87.64$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.05 | 635 | 53.1%337 W · 298 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 76c | 80$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 1,045 | 47.8%500 W · 545 L | +15.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd40b…429abacked Yes | 55c | 78.22$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.02 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 16c | 77.44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 585 | 48%281 W · 304 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 33c | 76.8$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed No | 61c | 65.39$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.52 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 163 | 41.1%67 W · 96 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 22c | 49.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 413 | 23.2%96 W · 317 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 55c | 46.13$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.62 | 3,461 | 43%1,489 W · 1,972 L | +31.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 76c | 40.87$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.81 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 76c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ec…27c4backed Yes | 30c | 39.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e0…a433backed Yes | 55c | 21.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked No | 75c | 15.78$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.94 | 117 | 51.3%60 W · 57 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…9190backed No | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -4.9wins | -0.21per pick | 52cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will UD Almería vs. FC Andorra end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Andorra win on 2026-02-13?No won
- Will UD Almería win on 2026-02-13?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.