CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: METANOIA WOLVES vs Vexa (BO3) - CCT South America Challengers #1 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ebe94bc13b62f25f9e9b881a2ad36616d54428a8fe79d5e4f3a556bb3bf918b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vexaof METANOIA WOLVES, Vexa
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,658
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,940
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,658 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x74a9…0dc7backed Vexa | 57c | 1,007$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.36 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Vexa | 54c | 374.46$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.51 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked METANOIA WOLVES | 51c | 242.38$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.78 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…c31cbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 64c | 137.12$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.64 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x849b…a5fdbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 50c | 135.75$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.55 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -3.9wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Vexa | 33c | 134$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.78 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb70…bc39backed METANOIA WOLVES | 17c | 132.91$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.18 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +116.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe659…4df0backed Vexa | 39c | 128.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.28 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x640b…ec00backed METANOIA WOLVES | 43c | 126.81$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.54 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 67c | 107.82$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.24 | 193 | 44%85 W · 108 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed METANOIA WOLVES | 32c | 93.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 771 | 46%355 W · 416 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa775…ab33backed METANOIA WOLVES | 69c | 90$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.1 | 195 | 54.4%106 W · 89 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x155b…d7babacked METANOIA WOLVES | 33c | 86.68$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.25 | 406 | 52.2%212 W · 194 L | +22.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Vexa | 31c | 86.27$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.53 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x312a…66b8backed METANOIA WOLVES | 13c | 83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 103 | 44.7%46 W · 57 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 40c | 72.15$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.65 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed METANOIA WOLVES | 54c | 68.5$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.99 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 67c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.25 | 558 | 43.5%243 W · 315 L | -16.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 60c | 47.69$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.61 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Vexa | 69c | 45.14$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.99 | 402 | 53.7%216 W · 186 L | +25.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked Vexa | 32c | 43.15$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.34 | 183 | 41%75 W · 108 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49ba…8faebacked Vexa | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.86 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a13…0473backed Vexa | 35c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06d5…3b00backed METANOIA WOLVES | 68c | 26.48$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed METANOIA WOLVES | 60c | 19.52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 527 | 50.7%267 W · 260 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65cf…5cdebacked METANOIA WOLVES | 59c | 19.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ba…269ebacked METANOIA WOLVES | 79c | 15.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 28 | 82.1%23 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 73cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.