CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Sangal vs Nemiga - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ec100cfed65439545c6db707990138ae9cb9cd66bf314db524e63d0caea017f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nemigaof Sangal, Nemiga
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,880
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,880 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Nemiga | 69c | 3,098$2,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Sangal | 51c | 1,627$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836.17 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Nemiga | 47c | 805.81$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.31 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4235…69cbbacked Sangal | 39c | 550$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.5 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c0…c3b9backed Nemiga | 60c | 550$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Nemiga | 60c | 520$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.83 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2b…2de7backed Nemiga | 59c | 490$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.9 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c5a…acc3backed Sangal | 40c | 490$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -5.2wins | -0.20per pick | 55cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Sangal | 53c | 413.3$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.11 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Sangal | 42c | 390.59$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.17 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Nemiga | 55c | 307.13$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.13 | 623 | 50.9%317 W · 306 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Sangal | 15c | 248.28$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.24 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Nemiga | 55c | 240.62$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.28 | 529 | 51.4%272 W · 257 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Nemiga | 54c | 225.01$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.57 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Sangal | 11c | 195.2$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.82 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Sangal | 41c | 159.83$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.03 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Nemiga | 66c | 99$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.66 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Sangal | 34c | 99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.66 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Nemiga | 61c | 59.99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.29 | 527 | 55.8%294 W · 233 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Nemiga | 54c | 56.69$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.86 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Sangal | 61c | 54.67$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.16 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed Sangal | 28c | 50.54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 94 | 41.5%39 W · 55 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd6…e668backed Sangal | 28c | 50.54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd191…449dbacked Sangal | 28c | 50.54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x219e…f793backed Sangal | 28c | 50.54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed Sangal | 41c | 48.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Nemiga | 57c | 27.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 114 | 50%57 W · 57 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Sangal | 43c | 26.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…3094backed Sangal | 43c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Sangal | 45c | 22.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 269 | 58.4%157 W · 112 L | +20.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Sangal vs Nemiga - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Sangal vs Nemiga (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 PlayoffsNemiga won
- Counter-Strike: Sangal vs Nemiga - Map 2 WinnerNemiga won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.