CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Sangal vs Nemiga (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x129e8b6f5adbcf0e474d50fe6e36ac10860ead0f135394abb6f0dde74ec81858
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nemigaof Sangal, Nemiga
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,473
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,473 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Sangal | 38c | 1,765$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.88 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc006…3c94backed Nemiga | 62c | 1,202$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.62 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -6.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Nemiga | 74c | 1,002$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.67 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Sangal | 27c | 684.58$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.71 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Sangal | 37c | 680$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.85 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Sangal | 38c | 550$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.72 | 330 | 44.5%147 W · 183 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Sangal | 16c | 322.14$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.56 | 204 | 40.7%83 W · 121 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Nemiga | 62c | 317.95$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.8 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…2075backed Sangal | 38c | 300$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 455 | 44.4%202 W · 253 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Sangal | 16c | 259$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.59 | 2,092 | 41.6%871 W · 1,221 L | -50.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Sangal | 16c | 257.76$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.19 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Sangal | 22c | 246.11$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.92 | 3,259 | 50.3%1,639 W · 1,620 L | +98.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ac…2a18backed Nemiga | 63c | 236.51$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.51 | 251 | 47.8%120 W · 131 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00a8…c071backed Nemiga | 62c | 209.68$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.68 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Nemiga | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 253 | 37.9%96 W · 157 L | -14.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8359…5944backed Sangal | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 700 | 32%224 W · 476 L | -45.8wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Sangal | 36c | 152.01$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.72 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Nemiga | 65c | 150$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Sangal | 11c | 146.03$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb67…fd46backed Sangal | 35c | 136.15$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.65 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Nemiga | 65c | 123.07$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.07 | 193 | 44%85 W · 108 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked Nemiga | 65c | 120$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 357 | 44.3%158 W · 199 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Sangal | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfe…e4debacked Sangal | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9810…b0debacked Nemiga | 65c | 99.6$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.97 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c06…bbeebacked Nemiga | 62c | 90$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.65 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Sangal | 35c | 85.81$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.41 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Sangal | 38c | 81.42$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.94 | 540 | 32.4%175 W · 365 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd5…11bbbacked Nemiga | 63c | 79.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.43 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7a…2c0abacked Nemiga | 64c | 76$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.36 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f73…dcdebacked Nemiga | 62c | 69$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd229…e6f0backed Nemiga | 62c | 64.24$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.41 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc0…8f18backed Sangal | 37c | 64$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.68 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Nemiga | 70c | 61$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.29 | 468 | 43.4%203 W · 265 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Sangal | 31c | 58.34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.05 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d7…ec13backed Nemiga | 62c | 56.26$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.38 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Sangal | 45c | 56.22$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 1,397 | 52.4%732 W · 665 L | +30.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Sangal | 37c | 47$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.39 | 2,456 | 44.5%1,093 W · 1,363 L | -67.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x931c…bf4bbacked Nemiga | 67c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.4 | 323 | 51.4%166 W · 157 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Nemiga | 79c | 36.24$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 527 | 55.8%294 W · 233 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2639…a9b6backed Nemiga | 65c | 33.85$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.85 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50ab…70a2backed Nemiga | 63c | 31.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.54 | 119 | 42%50 W · 69 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Nemiga | 62c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 780 | 43.7%341 W · 439 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Nemiga | 66c | 26.06$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.86 | 2,672 | 47.8%1,277 W · 1,395 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc539…ca4ebacked Nemiga | 65c | 23.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.29 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5004…c07bbacked Nemiga | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e27…d603backed Nemiga | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9c…c851backed Nemiga | 65c | 16.93$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.93 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdda1…e338backed Nemiga | 65c | 16.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf20…5be2backed Nemiga | 65c | 16.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…18eebacked Nemiga | 65c | 16.91$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Sangal vs Nemiga (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Sangal vs Nemiga - Map 1 WinnerNemiga won
- Counter-Strike: Sangal vs Nemiga - Map 2 WinnerNemiga won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.