Lol · resolved market

Game Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs Contingent Esports (+1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ed1bdfb6eaa55c0374355fea215ea423f8159086fe617971abc1667fa305ea8

Rebuilt 16 hours ago.

Winning outcome: NRG Esportsof NRG Esports, Contingent Esports
Resolved: Aug 14, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $28,175
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $38,487

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,175 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Lol
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xe410…d4d1backed NRG Esports	70c	4,246$2,993 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,253.21	153	52.9%81 W · 72 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…a2cbbacked NRG Esports	77c	4,090$3,135 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$955.39	245	54.3%133 W · 112 L	+10.6wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe55a…ecf7backed NRG Esports	65c	2,639$1,726 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$913.76	44	50%22 W · 22 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb039…c6d9backed NRG Esports	69c	1,820$1,262 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$557.42	164	51.2%84 W · 80 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Contingent Esports	31c	1,500$461 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$461.42	2,495	47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L	-32.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28a3…f681backed Contingent Esports	35c	1,400$490 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$490	370	39.5%146 W · 224 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Contingent Esports	31c	1,290$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	421	43.9%185 W · 236 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked NRG Esports	66c	1,239$815 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$424.35	1,485	50.1%744 W · 741 L	+67.0wins	+0.05per pick	46cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Contingent Esports	33c	1,120$370 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$369.6	962	50.1%482 W · 480 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa5e7…a100backed NRG Esports	65c	805.99$524 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$282.1	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	-1.2wins	-0.07per pick	48cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Contingent Esports	29c	795$231 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230.55	592	48.3%286 W · 306 L	+15.7wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Contingent Esports	31c	755.87$232 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$231.99	1,047	50.3%527 W · 520 L	+37.1wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xae30…107bbacked Contingent Esports	30c	587.7$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$174.93	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.0wins	-0.16per pick	49cpaid	-41.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Contingent Esports	32c	533.63$172 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$171.78	2,938	44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L	-92.3wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Contingent Esports	36c	504.17$184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$183.76	639	44.6%285 W · 354 L	-18.1wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb862…a00dbacked Contingent Esports	24c	487$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.28	18	50%9 W · 9 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed Contingent Esports	35c	339.48$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.82	1,385	45.1%625 W · 760 L	-12.5wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x272d…bc2fbacked Contingent Esports	29c	303.79$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.1	285	53%151 W · 134 L	+8.6wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked Contingent Esports	29c	300$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87	297	38.7%115 W · 182 L	-5.0wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf20b…e27dbacked Contingent Esports	29c	273.44$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.3	348	49.1%171 W · 177 L	+11.5wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+13.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1747…4afcbacked Contingent Esports	24c	235.9$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.62	192	44.3%85 W · 107 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed Contingent Esports	30c	210.84$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.86	507	45%228 W · 279 L	+1.8wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Contingent Esports	8c	210$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.3	464	52.4%243 W · 221 L	+18.2wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5519…f7e1backed NRG Esports	67c	200$134 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66	158	61.4%97 W · 61 L	+11.9wins	+0.08per pick	54cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Contingent Esports	25c	200$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.58	1,599	46.8%748 W · 851 L	-48.1wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5556…2759backed Contingent Esports	34c	166.46$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.33	624	51.4%321 W · 303 L	-10.4wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfdd…e70ebacked Contingent Esports	31c	161$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.91	132	40.9%54 W · 78 L	-7.9wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a3d…4d49backed Contingent Esports	31c	157.32$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.67	57	57.9%33 W · 24 L	+5.4wins	+0.10per pick	48cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa983…be03backed Contingent Esports	33c	151.52$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	27	48.1%13 W · 14 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Contingent Esports	32c	150$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.25	417	49.2%205 W · 212 L	+6.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3116…b30dbacked Contingent Esports	33c	150$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.76	39	48.7%19 W · 20 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed NRG Esports	67c	148.35$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.44	1,794	51.1%917 W · 877 L	+50.5wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc59…35f7backed Contingent Esports	34c	147.06$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	95	37.9%36 W · 59 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ce1…f3aabacked Contingent Esports	34c	147.06$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	53	37.7%20 W · 33 L	+1.5wins	+0.03per pick	35cpaid	+19.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf908…0aafbacked Contingent Esports	34c	147.06$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	124	47.6%59 W · 65 L	+5.6wins	+0.05per pick	43cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed Contingent Esports	30c	124.1$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.83	584	37.2%217 W · 367 L	-7.9wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked NRG Esports	67c	119$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.27	172	41.9%72 W · 100 L	+6.0wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ad3…1af6backed Contingent Esports	34c	117.65$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	82	37.8%31 W · 51 L	-2.9wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6bc1…3f1cbacked Contingent Esports	35c	101.86$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.65	447	45.2%202 W · 245 L	-14.0wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x511d…3633backed NRG Esports	67c	100$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33	163	56.4%92 W · 71 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	58cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6cd3…226ebacked Contingent Esports	28c	100$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.3	556	28.6%159 W · 397 L	-31.8wins	-0.06per pick	34cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfb42…176ebacked Contingent Esports	34c	88.24$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	33	45.5%15 W · 18 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69b9…a5d5backed Contingent Esports	29c	73.29$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.25	272	47.8%130 W · 142 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1715…a049backed Contingent Esports	31c	68.46$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.35	62	48.4%30 W · 32 L	-2.4wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x78fb…56bcbacked Contingent Esports	34c	58.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	40	47.5%19 W · 21 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2175…4b33backed Contingent Esports	34c	58.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	51	41.2%21 W · 30 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x62cd…7b19backed Contingent Esports	34c	58.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	67	46.3%31 W · 36 L	+1.8wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf60…5267backed NRG Esports	71c	56.29$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.48	155	71%110 W · 45 L	+13.9wins	+0.09per pick	62cpaid	+9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3546…1a58backed Contingent Esports	18c	55.56$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	161	30.4%49 W · 112 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x70a0…2dc3backed Contingent Esports	18c	55.56$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	109	30.3%33 W · 76 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	30cpaid	+18.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Contingent Esports	30c	39.36$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.81	156	42.9%67 W · 89 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe567…f0cfbacked Contingent Esports	34c	32.35$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	37	40.5%15 W · 22 L	-3.0wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a06…248abacked Contingent Esports	32c	31.91$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.21	38	60.5%23 W · 15 L	+2.7wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+16.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb8e…3dc3backed Contingent Esports	32c	31.25$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	174	36.2%63 W · 111 L	+10.7wins	+0.06per pick	30cpaid	+19.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x36de…cf07backed NRG Esports	69c	28.99$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.99	153	59.5%91 W · 62 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	+4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x089c…33dabacked NRG Esports	67c	21$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.93	145	46.9%68 W · 77 L	-6.3wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Game Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs Contingent Esports (+1.5)this page
Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?No won
Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
LoL: NRG Esports vs Contingent Esports (BO3) - North American Challengers League Group StageNRG Esports won
LoL: NRG Esports vs Contingent Esports - Game 1 WinnerNRG Esports won
LoL: NRG Esports vs Contingent Esports - Game 2 WinnerNRG Esports won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Game Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs Contingent Esports (+1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event