Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8209149d3b9e52ac15b0599dcc966e87c572168ceadd1fc3a63fb99724f45b37
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,021
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,258
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,021 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Under | 71c | 4,226$2,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,235.04 | 1,522 | 54.7%832 W · 690 L | +37.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed Over | 29c | 1,589$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.84 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…a2cbbacked Under | 79c | 1,221$964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.14 | 245 | 54.3%133 W · 112 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf5f…555ebacked Over | 29c | 775.86$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 20c | 750$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2,521 | 47.3%1,193 W · 1,328 L | -34.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x657a…d1f4backed Over | 25c | 694.55$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.64 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Over | 30c | 514$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.92 | 637 | 51.2%326 W · 311 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb862…a00dbacked Under | 75c | 494$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.5 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Over | 29c | 417.03$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.94 | 1,399 | 44.9%628 W · 771 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 29c | 399$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.78 | 2,984 | 44.5%1,329 W · 1,655 L | -94.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Over | 28c | 350.9$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.06 | 435 | 43.2%188 W · 247 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1f…c47bbacked Over | 29c | 282.76$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -50%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked Over | 29c | 240$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.6 | 356 | 42.4%151 W · 205 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Under | 71c | 212.42$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.6 | 2,178 | 53.4%1,164 W · 1,014 L | +61.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Under | 73c | 160.96$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.46 | 200 | 59%118 W · 82 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b0…4d1ebacked Over | 29c | 140$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | +7.4wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +30%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked Under | 72c | 120.99$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.88 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc1…3f1cbacked Over | 29c | 118$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.22 | 454 | 45.4%206 W · 248 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,599 | 46.8%748 W · 851 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xece0…7dc9backed Over | 27c | 88.89$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5633…59bcbacked Under | 72c | 73$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.44 | 113 | 57.5%65 W · 48 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Over | 27c | 72.07$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 357 | 42.9%153 W · 204 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Over | 22c | 68.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 192 | 38.5%74 W · 118 L | -13.8wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…559abacked Under | 72c | 38$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 185 | 60.5%112 W · 73 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5926…e20abacked Under | 72c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 65cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Under | 72c | 32$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 130 | 50%65 W · 65 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed Under | 73c | 16.1$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 125 | 57.6%72 W · 53 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a51…bf4cbacked Under | 72c | 15.21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.26 | 106 | 60.4%64 W · 42 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d98…c601backed Under | 72c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?No won
- Game Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs Contingent Esports (+1.5)NRG Esports won
- LoL: NRG Esports vs Contingent Esports (BO3) - North American Challengers League Group StageNRG Esports won
- LoL: NRG Esports vs Contingent Esports - Game 1 WinnerNRG Esports won
- LoL: NRG Esports vs Contingent Esports - Game 2 WinnerNRG Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.