CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Metizport vs Fire Flux Esports - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ee08d68cfad0e0029cd72a55c903261ce0e6f62a2b2389577919ef0d68fe023
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Metizportof Metizport, Fire Flux Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,912
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,538
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,912 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7460…de6ebacked Fire Flux Esports | 37c | 1,500$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 439 | 51.7%227 W · 212 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Metizport | 69c | 1,474$1,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.8 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c81…5518backed Fire Flux Esports | 37c | 1,122$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.9 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Metizport | 64c | 1,078$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.07 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked Fire Flux Esports | 39c | 1,047$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.53 | 345 | 42.3%146 W · 199 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Metizport | 63c | 955.03$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.99 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Metizport | 63c | 834.59$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.8 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed Metizport | 63c | 600$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222 | 334 | 48.2%161 W · 173 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…ca3fbacked Fire Flux Esports | 36c | 500$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.5 | 358 | 47.5%170 W · 188 L | -13.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Fire Flux Esports | 41c | 487.25$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.45 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Metizport | 67c | 408.79$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.47 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Fire Flux Esports | 21c | 387.85$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.12 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ee…663bbacked Fire Flux Esports | 38c | 368.44$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.02 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…3250backed Metizport | 65c | 109.69$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.39 | 80 | 61.3%49 W · 31 L | +7.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5008…9466backed Fire Flux Esports | 25c | 83.32$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.83 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Metizport | 65c | 80$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Metizport | 62c | 76.38$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.02 | 219 | 49.8%109 W · 110 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4b…ecc5backed Fire Flux Esports | 39c | 75.94$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.62 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -28%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…befebacked Metizport | 59c | 64.61$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.26 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Metizport | 63c | 47.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.56 | 104 | 54.8%57 W · 47 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Metizport | 70c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 659 | 46.6%307 W · 352 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0063…2dd2backed Metizport | 72c | 32.05$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.83 | 402 | 64.7%260 W · 142 L | +49.2wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Metizport | 65c | 27.35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.64 | 1,068 | 55%587 W · 481 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Metizport | 66c | 15.16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.15 | 700 | 42.3%296 W · 404 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Metizport vs Fire Flux Esports - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Metizport vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 PlayoffsMetizport won
- Counter-Strike: Metizport vs Fire Flux Esports - Map 2 WinnerMetizport won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.