Tennis · resolved market
Zizou Bergs vs. Arthur Fery: Total Sets O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0f329c055be7f7c9fe28fa552ff3b634c64a69299d184d6fb39f4cd7d0d78cf3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Over 4.5of Over 4.5, Under 4.5
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,688
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,961
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,688 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6401…f240backed Under 4.5 | 50c | 11,762$5,881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,881 | 263 | 55.1%145 W · 118 L | +36.9wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdb93…94cfbacked Over 4.5 | 50c | 6,245$3,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,123.21 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8c…8f2bbacked Over 4.5 | 50c | 2,063$1,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,031.32 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over 4.5 | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…83adbacked Over 4.5 | 50c | 703.96$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.98 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +4.4wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb2…bd2dbacked Under 4.5 | 48c | 412.07$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.67 | 165 | 49.7%82 W · 83 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Over 4.5 | 52c | 360.99$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.96 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Over 4.5 | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 727 | 55.6%404 W · 323 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Over 4.5 | 50c | 239.42$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.71 | 1,688 | 45.4%766 W · 922 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed Over 4.5 | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 275 | 50.2%138 W · 137 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Over 4.5 | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over 4.5 | 59c | 120.4$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.55 | 389 | 47.3%184 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Over 4.5 | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1,837 | 59.2%1,088 W · 749 L | +8.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Over 4.5 | 50c | 98$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf05d…6ababacked Under 4.5 | 48c | 83.25$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.96 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -4.7wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…ae4dbacked Over 4.5 | 50c | 75$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 197 | 44.7%88 W · 109 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Over 4.5 | 50c | 72$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 295 | 51.5%152 W · 143 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb175…fd32backed Over 4.5 | 52c | 56.87$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Over 4.5 | 50c | 49.96$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.98 | 551 | 49.7%274 W · 277 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under 4.5 | 69c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed Over 4.5 | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 349 | 57.9%202 W · 147 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x675d…a3a0backed Over 4.5 | 50c | 23.76$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under 4.5 | 70c | 20.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under 4.5 | 69c | 18.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 852 | 50%426 W · 426 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Zizou Bergs vs. Arthur Fery: Total Sets O/U 4.5this page
- Set 1 Winner: Bergs vs FeryBergs won
- Set 2 Winner: Bergs vs FeryFery won
- Set 4 Winner: Bergs vs FeryFery won
- Set Handicap: Bergs (-1.5) vs Fery (+1.5)Fery won
- Wimbledon ATP: Zizou Bergs vs Arthur FeryArthur Fery won
- Zizou Bergs vs. Arthur Fery: Total Sets O/U 3.5Over 3.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.