Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: AGELITE vs REIGNITE FOXX (BO3) - VCL Japan: Phase 1
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0f453872b222ade1ddfef6244888feaafcba312b3a115ff5e18612931bdf738c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- REIGNITE FOXXof AGELITE, REIGNITE FOXX
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,030
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,030 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x861f…a189backed REIGNITE FOXX | 61c | 548.8$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.1 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51c0…e106backed REIGNITE FOXX | 56c | 378.77$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb411…249abacked AGELITE | 42c | 306$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…25c0backed AGELITE | 42c | 270$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.99 | 125 | 40.8%51 W · 74 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked REIGNITE FOXX | 58c | 250$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 610 | 35.9%219 W · 391 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked AGELITE | 38c | 199.99$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed AGELITE | 43c | 188.7$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.98 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bdb…320abacked AGELITE | 44c | 156.99$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked REIGNITE FOXX | 56c | 136.92$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.24 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…c602backed REIGNITE FOXX | 58c | 110.59$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.45 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked AGELITE | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 140 | 37.9%53 W · 87 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked REIGNITE FOXX | 60c | 98.47$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.39 | 146 | 53.4%78 W · 68 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked AGELITE | 39c | 98$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.99 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed AGELITE | 45c | 84$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked AGELITE | 44c | 66.48$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0caa…b2bdbacked REIGNITE FOXX | 59c | 39.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 149 | 59.7%89 W · 60 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed AGELITE | 41c | 33.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5747…7fdfbacked REIGNITE FOXX | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 628 | 56.4%354 W · 274 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked AGELITE | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 199 | 43.7%87 W · 112 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed REIGNITE FOXX | 57c | 21.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 109 | 59.6%65 W · 44 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x34c5…db89backed REIGNITE FOXX | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed REIGNITE FOXX | 58c | 18.94$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.93 | 278 | 47.1%131 W · 147 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.