Asian League · resolved market
Chengdu Rongcheng FC leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0f4a7b7e694ca11dbf98c17bc6b71b527e8a9afcccc5877a4503511c96dd7d89
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,635
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,683
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,635 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 64c | 7,953$5,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,839.69 | 344 | 47.4%163 W · 181 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Yes | 35c | 2,252$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.3 | 285 | 32.3%92 W · 193 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 37c | 1,985$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.77 | 2,467 | 40.3%993 W · 1,474 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 39c | 1,013$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.75 | 735 | 38.6%284 W · 451 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 35c | 557$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.95 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 29c | 553.36$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.99 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 3c | 528.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 2,499 | 42.3%1,057 W · 1,442 L | +52.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 37c | 500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 1,707 | 50.6%863 W · 844 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81a9…df08backed No | 65c | 461$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.35 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 35c | 436.82$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.89 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 35c | 410.11$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.69 | 2,397 | 37.8%905 W · 1,492 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 35c | 313.7$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.8 | 1,617 | 36.3%587 W · 1,030 L | -34.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4061…dde5backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 36c | 159.85$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.21 | 1,959 | 54.6%1,069 W · 890 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed Yes | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 176 | 30.1%53 W · 123 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Yes | 41c | 41$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.81 | 153 | 52.9%81 W · 72 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63f8…09dfbacked Yes | 36c | 27.78$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 58c | 23.81$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 321 | 54.2%174 W · 147 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC leading at halftime?this page
- Qingdao Xihaian FC leading at halftime?Yes won
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: Draw at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.