Tennis · resolved market
ITF Brisbane: Matthew Dellavedova vs Jake Delaney
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0f6175b391302965a9940851404abe57958571b001fad7f4a3788c54be05d5d6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jake Delaneyof Matthew Dellavedova, Jake Delaney
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,325
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,751
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,325 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Matthew Dellavedova | 35c | 12,336$4,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,296.97 | 11,920 | 43.3%5,167 W · 6,753 L | +24.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Jake Delaney | 67c | 8,625$5,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,866.6 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacf8…e791backed Jake Delaney | 49c | 1,879$921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$958.35 | 349 | 37.5%131 W · 218 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdedc…2fcdbacked Jake Delaney | 32c | 1,514$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029.5 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 37cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x360c…bf96backed Matthew Dellavedova | 60c | 195.08$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.03 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | -9.2wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Matthew Dellavedova | 55c | 167.12$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.72 | 705 | 37.6%265 W · 440 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Jake Delaney | 40c | 160.05$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.03 | 7,163 | 39.8%2,851 W · 4,312 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Matthew Dellavedova | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 225 | 47.1%106 W · 119 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Jake Delaney | 66c | 99.99$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.44 | 1,823 | 46.5%848 W · 975 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Matthew Dellavedova | 65c | 91.33$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.37 | 3,784 | 42.6%1,613 W · 2,171 L | -43.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Matthew Dellavedova | 36c | 79.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.82 | 1,772 | 52.1%923 W · 849 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Matthew Dellavedova | 36c | 70$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.4 | 2,090 | 52.2%1,091 W · 999 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Matthew Dellavedova | 37c | 70$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.85 | 1,730 | 52.2%903 W · 827 L | -8.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Jake Delaney | 66c | 64.55$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.95 | 1,331 | 64.6%860 W · 471 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…b027backed Matthew Dellavedova | 65c | 61$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.65 | 307 | 46.3%142 W · 165 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Jake Delaney | 65c | 57.87$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.48 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked Matthew Dellavedova | 56c | 55.43$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.04 | 235 | 30.2%71 W · 164 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01af…7bc2backed Jake Delaney | 42c | 47.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.61 | 215 | 36.7%79 W · 136 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Matthew Dellavedova | 58c | 42.6$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.71 | 730 | 48.8%356 W · 374 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa14e…61dabacked Jake Delaney | 42c | 30.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.02 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…d7b5backed Matthew Dellavedova | 58c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 525 | 52.4%275 W · 250 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Jake Delaney | 64c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 653 | 46.4%303 W · 350 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.