Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Misa Esports vs Team Liquid Academy - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0fb9bc46e0d225161b17632865e81e2dab3926f630def33845557014d58ec35c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Misa Esportsof Misa Esports, Team Liquid Academy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,881
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,881 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 10 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Team Liquid Academy | 0c | 3,729$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 274 | 11.3%31 W · 243 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Liquid Academy | 37c | 301.47$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.37 | 1,748 | 46.2%808 W · 940 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Misa Esports | 44c | 250$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 610 | 35.9%219 W · 391 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Misa Esports | 55c | 186.02$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.71 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3d…bbfabacked Team Liquid Academy | 42c | 166.38$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.88 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Team Liquid Academy | 14c | 161$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.54 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Misa Esports | 74c | 99$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.12 | 337 | 59.6%201 W · 136 L | +18.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed Misa Esports | 69c | 79.37$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.37 | 90 | 41.1%37 W · 53 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x567e…e8fbbacked Team Liquid Academy | 32c | 60.83$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Team Liquid Academy | 40c | 41.43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.39 | 215 | 58.1%125 W · 90 L | +15.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Misa Esports vs Team Liquid Academy - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Valorant: Misa Esports vs Team Liquid Academy (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Group AMisa Esports won
- Valorant: Misa Esports vs Team Liquid Academy - Map 2 WinnerMisa Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.