Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Misa Esports vs Team Liquid Academy (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0270858e02f91d73b1814d110996632d9a6cafdd6468ab5f5fb3e09b8c73e512
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Misa Esportsof Misa Esports, Team Liquid Academy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,484
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,484 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Team Liquid Academy | 1c | 1,852$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.52 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x567e…e8fbbacked Misa Esports | 74c | 1,423$1,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.76 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Misa Esports | 77c | 1,158$895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.57 | 215 | 58.1%125 W · 90 L | +15.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Team Liquid Academy | 26c | 769.23$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Team Liquid Academy | 26c | 674$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.24 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Misa Esports | 76c | 352.08$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.03 | 337 | 59.6%201 W · 136 L | +18.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Team Liquid Academy | 26c | 331$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.19 | 534 | 42.1%225 W · 309 L | -15.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Team Liquid Academy | 25c | 322.86$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.94 | 220 | 18.2%40 W · 180 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…25c0backed Misa Esports | 78c | 300$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.05 | 125 | 40.8%51 W · 74 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Team Liquid Academy | 54c | 202.29$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.24 | 242 | 50.4%122 W · 120 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Misa Esports | 47c | 199.99$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.99 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Misa Esports | 46c | 185.91$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.39 | 112 | 58%65 W · 47 L | +12.8wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked Team Liquid Academy | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 150 | 42%63 W · 87 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35b8…898abacked Team Liquid Academy | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Misa Esports | 52c | 88$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.64 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Liquid Academy | 25c | 83.84$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.57 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Team Liquid Academy | 49c | 69.4$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.1 | 601 | 54.2%326 W · 275 L | +24.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Team Liquid Academy | 48c | 49.92$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.96 | 610 | 35.9%219 W · 391 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Misa Esports | 78c | 45.27$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.73 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc18c…63dabacked Misa Esports | 51c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6c…c7adbacked Misa Esports | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Misa Esports | 80c | 15.77$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.22 | 291 | 51.5%150 W · 141 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Misa Esports vs Team Liquid Academy (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Group Athis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Valorant: Misa Esports vs Team Liquid Academy - Map 1 WinnerMisa Esports won
- Valorant: Misa Esports vs Team Liquid Academy - Map 2 WinnerMisa Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.