TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: Tezcat Gaming vs Contra - Map 3 Winner

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Contraof Tezcat Gaming, Contra
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$16,159
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$17,626

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,159 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x567e…e8fbbacked Contra56c2,645$1,486 inWon+$1,159.345856.9%33 W · 25 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Contra71c2,090$1,494 inWon+$596.8533759.6%201 W · 136 L+18.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x969f…cbdcbacked Tezcat Gaming44c1,395$611 inLost-$611.217737.7%29 W · 48 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-25.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Tezcat Gaming41c925$376 inLost-$375.814738.3%18 W · 29 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab30…379fbacked Tezcat Gaming13c300$39 inLost-$392416.7%4 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick11cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Tezcat Gaming38c273.49$104 inLost-$104.231,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Tezcat Gaming24c226.24$55 inLost-$54.9341835.6%149 W · 269 L-19.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-32.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Tezcat Gaming19c194.28$36 inLost-$36.391,60137.5%600 W · 1,001 L-75.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ce2…4b11backed Tezcat Gaming17c150$26 inLost-$25.5633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-14%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa900…5acebacked Tezcat Gaming17c133$23 inLost-$22.614438.6%17 W · 27 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-24.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Tezcat Gaming24c116$28 inLost-$27.7726730.7%82 W · 185 L-13.9wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-30.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc63b…6e4ebacked Tezcat Gaming16c108$17 inLost-$17.476924.6%17 W · 52 L-6.8wins-0.10per pick34cpaid-46.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf3c8…e340backed Tezcat Gaming19c104$20 inLost-$19.765738.6%22 W · 35 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-10.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa74a…4893backed Tezcat Gaming47c100$47 inLost-$47.3134739.8%138 W · 209 L-13.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-24.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x99f7…1a59backed Tezcat Gaming17c80$14 inLost-$13.614436.1%52 W · 92 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed Tezcat Gaming18c70$13 inLost-$12.5313035.4%46 W · 84 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-20.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Tezcat Gaming50c60$30 inLost-$3010959.6%65 W · 44 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+8.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Contra77c50$38 inWon+$11.7323146.8%108 W · 123 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-10.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x86c8…fc02backed Tezcat Gaming59c33.43$20 inLost-$19.5720248%97 W · 105 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0386…2b1abacked Contra55c27.27$15 inWon+$12.2717039.4%67 W · 103 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick35cpaid-0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c67…e838backed Tezcat Gaming53c18.87$10 inLost-$104134.1%14 W · 27 L-5.9wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-41.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.