Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Tezcat Gaming vs Contra - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd6d97205343acc823591c71accfa4a3cbc1feb3ea30dcd1d91b2901f07cbe8cb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Contraof Tezcat Gaming, Contra
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,906
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,242
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,906 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 11 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x567e…e8fbbacked Contra | 71c | 449.4$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.55 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Contra | 39c | 301.64$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 610 | 35.9%219 W · 391 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Tezcat Gaming | 56c | 274.14$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.42 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Tezcat Gaming | 37c | 146.85$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.94 | 347 | 39.8%138 W · 209 L | -13.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Contra | 48c | 91$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.32 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Tezcat Gaming | 52c | 91$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.32 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Tezcat Gaming | 56c | 90.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.33 | 337 | 59.6%201 W · 136 L | +18.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Contra | 73c | 83.94$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.96 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c67…e838backed Tezcat Gaming | 45c | 23.87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -5.9wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Contra | 67c | 21.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.16 | 418 | 35.6%149 W · 269 L | -19.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb2…eb78backed Contra | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Tezcat Gaming vs Contra - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Valorant: Tezcat Gaming vs Contra (BO5) - VCL Latin America North PlayoffsContra won
- Valorant: Tezcat Gaming vs Contra - Map 2 WinnerTezcat Gaming won
- Valorant: Tezcat Gaming vs Contra - Map 3 WinnerContra won
- Valorant: Tezcat Gaming vs Contra - Map 4 WinnerTezcat Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.