CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs SAW (BO1) - Roman Imperium Cup Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0fef3884e832c006641842f94adcc60e9546fde36f9cd81f0857d40609ed4048
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- CYBERSHOKE Esportsof CYBERSHOKE Esports, SAW
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,177
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,466
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,177 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 78c | 2,880$2,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.98 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed SAW | 21c | 2,172$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453 | 207 | 43%89 W · 118 L | -14.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 79c | 1,900$1,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed SAW | 20c | 931.06$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.71 | 392 | 45.9%180 W · 212 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 80c | 900$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 467 | 49.7%232 W · 235 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26ac…a735backed SAW | 22c | 900$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 244 | 29.5%72 W · 172 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed SAW | 17c | 601.29$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.09 | 112 | 40.2%45 W · 67 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 80c | 596.62$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.44 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed30…ddedbacked SAW | 9c | 547.83$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4197…d9c3backed SAW | 17c | 495$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -31%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed SAW | 27c | 441.1$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.74 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed SAW | 22c | 325$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.7 | 336 | 27.7%93 W · 243 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5229…2befbacked SAW | 26c | 309.9$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.37 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742c…acc0backed SAW | 22c | 288.44$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.46 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked SAW | 22c | 272.98$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.75 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed SAW | 22c | 240.44$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.04 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 80c | 181.49$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.3 | 228 | 38.6%88 W · 140 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed SAW | 23c | 168.98$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.49 | 540 | 32.4%175 W · 365 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 79c | 168.66$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.42 | 611 | 54.7%334 W · 277 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked SAW | 22c | 159.85$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1,078 | 32%345 W · 733 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked SAW | 20c | 158$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.6 | 90 | 27.8%25 W · 65 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed SAW | 20c | 136.9$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.38 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed SAW | 10c | 131$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 573 | 22.3%128 W · 445 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 79c | 130$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 79c | 130$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.36 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa7…db93backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 218 | 67%146 W · 72 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 485 | 62.7%304 W · 181 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed SAW | 21c | 115.45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.24 | 1,038 | 39.9%414 W · 624 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked SAW | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x529c…053ebacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 74c | 92.81$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.19 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked SAW | 20c | 90.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 543 | 48.6%264 W · 279 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…713dbacked SAW | 24c | 83.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.79 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x563c…0dbfbacked SAW | 22c | 63.18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 101 | 37.6%38 W · 63 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc283…031cbacked SAW | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x118d…0d42backed SAW | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 71 | 31%22 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 79c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 159 | 65.4%104 W · 55 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37d7…f131backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 72c | 38.47$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 334 | 51.5%172 W · 162 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 77c | 30.04$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.91 | 771 | 46%355 W · 416 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 72c | 29.79$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.34 | 217 | 52.5%114 W · 103 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 74c | 27.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.07 | 1,076 | 37.6%405 W · 671 L | +34.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 79c | 18.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 610 | 54.9%335 W · 275 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.