CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: OG vs 9z (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x100c613f20044010a21b93f9b61a2914b8705a90d99f9fc0a68ef3e8131e0d6a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 9zof OG, 9z
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,081
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,980
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,081 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2129…4222backed 9z | 22c | 22,712$4,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,717.64 | 273 | 45.8%125 W · 148 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed 9z | 28c | 4,574$1,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,303.63 | 324 | 25.3%82 W · 242 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…1319backed OG | 66c | 1,899$1,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,253.18 | 164 | 49.4%81 W · 83 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2e…41a7backed 9z | 32c | 1,562$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,062.16 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +4.7wins | +0.21per pick | 47cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d9…4d8bbacked OG | 74c | 1,500$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc426…20b4backed 9z | 34c | 1,471$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970.59 | 96 | 56.3%54 W · 42 L | +10.8wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked 9z | 60c | 1,458$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.27 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a3…b1dfbacked 9z | 61c | 1,430$874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.43 | 130 | 50%65 W · 65 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked 9z | 17c | 1,427$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,190.97 | 263 | 51.3%135 W · 128 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…6fe0backed 9z | 28c | 1,306$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$937.88 | 384 | 52.3%201 W · 183 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed 9z | 28c | 1,250$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$904.42 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed 9z | 26c | 1,018$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.32 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked 9z | 20c | 693.2$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.32 | 470 | 55.7%262 W · 208 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed 9z | 26c | 617.14$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.68 | 216 | 39.8%86 W · 130 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x644b…2145backed OG | 62c | 557$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.34 | 157 | 49%77 W · 80 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked 9z | 50c | 373.16$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.16 | 264 | 38.6%102 W · 162 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…50c9backed 9z | 20c | 278$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.4 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a23…5ca3backed OG | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…3987backed OG | 80c | 250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -3.4wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed 9z | 14c | 228$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.86 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked 9z | 21c | 166.67$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.67 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed 9z | 20c | 152.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.28 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa1…99ffbacked 9z | 28c | 146.5$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.48 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | -6.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed OG | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 265 | 63%167 W · 98 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4731…cba8backed 9z | 31c | 144.93$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked 9z | 13c | 140$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.5 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed 9z | 29c | 135.77$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.73 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed OG | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 367 | 51%187 W · 180 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked 9z | 50c | 122.59$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.88 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked 9z | 46c | 103$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.46 | 307 | 48.9%150 W · 157 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecba…5fb4backed 9z | 34c | 83.33$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.33 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dae…a50bbacked OG | 47c | 74.13$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.84 | 142 | 33.8%48 W · 94 L | -18.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b8…9d1fbacked 9z | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 328 | 32.3%106 W · 222 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2439…d220backed 9z | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +188.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5206…0f4cbacked 9z | 31c | 35.41$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.41 | 265 | 35.5%94 W · 171 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac0c…739cbacked OG | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 660 | 34.1%225 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d1…4cb7backed OG | 63c | 24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 113 | 58.4%66 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x729a…1e51backed OG | 72c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -12.2wins | -0.12per pick | 64cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.