CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: NEM (-1.5) vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1013812a4b340e3a73a550ce79f56f1bf98b34131d74592e6f3ad6327b3d9c6a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Nemesisof Team Nemesis, CYBERSHOKE Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,908
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,887
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,908 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 62c | 1,175$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.15 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Team Nemesis | 37c | 901.81$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.07 | 499 | 35.1%175 W · 324 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…4b1dbacked Team Nemesis | 38c | 454.21$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.17 | 343 | 40.8%140 W · 203 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Team Nemesis | 41c | 415.31$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.03 | 193 | 51.3%99 W · 94 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 60c | 297$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.2 | 679 | 51.4%349 W · 330 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Team Nemesis | 61c | 254.2$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 1,377 | 66.4%914 W · 463 L | +77.0wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 38c | 246.86$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.63 | 4,238 | 49.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L | +60.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Team Nemesis | 38c | 224$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.78 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 63c | 214.46$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.79 | 2,030 | 53.7%1,091 W · 939 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 63c | 179.24$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.37 | 500 | 51.4%257 W · 243 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Team Nemesis | 40c | 175$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 489 | 39.7%194 W · 295 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf6…0cbdbacked Team Nemesis | 40c | 122$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.2 | 138 | 44.2%61 W · 77 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed Team Nemesis | 34c | 114.71$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.71 | 362 | 39.2%142 W · 220 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Team Nemesis | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 63c | 96.16$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.94 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 63c | 89.92$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.75 | 347 | 50.7%176 W · 171 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 27c | 74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Team Nemesis | 36c | 73.8$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.23 | 541 | 48.6%263 W · 278 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 62c | 69.02$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.12 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca8…7e67backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 60c | 53.46$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.97 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f53…d5abbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 66c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 336 | 50%168 W · 168 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee16…16a2backed Team Nemesis | 38c | 40$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 297 | 52.2%155 W · 142 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24f5…98d2backed Team Nemesis | 63c | 35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.99 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9444…048ebacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 63c | 31.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 147 | 51.7%76 W · 71 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…f04ebacked Team Nemesis | 65c | 27.28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 268 | 53.7%144 W · 124 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: NEM (-1.5) vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series PlayoffsTeam Nemesis won
- Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs CYBERSHOKE Esports - Map 1 WinnerTeam Nemesis won
- Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs CYBERSHOKE Esports - Map 2 WinnerTeam Nemesis won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.