TailMyPicks

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CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs CYBERSHOKE Esports - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Nemesisof Team Nemesis, CYBERSHOKE Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$16,693
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$17,093

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,693 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3ee4…ed67backed CYBERSHOKE Esports24c4,066$963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$962.6719340.4%78 W · 115 L-10.1wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports39c1,085$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.365,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cec…d241backed Team Nemesis62c614.17$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.174940.8%20 W · 29 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-23.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x57b2…9da2backed Team Nemesis61c462.33$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.3132844.8%147 W · 181 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+14.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x589a…8dc5backed CYBERSHOKE Esports29c371.93$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.8139038.5%150 W · 240 L-17.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-4.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed CYBERSHOKE Esports40c325.49$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.632,00953.9%1,082 W · 927 L+7.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0786…df1dbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports9c300$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.014571.1%32 W · 13 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Team Nemesis62c299.99$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11591945.8%421 W · 498 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed Team Nemesis70c286.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.161,16354.3%631 W · 532 L-38.8wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x88aa…2f5ebacked Team Nemesis58c237.81$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.912133.3%7 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed CYBERSHOKE Esports7c202.3$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.712,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x1bac…d241backed CYBERSHOKE Esports17c190.35$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.340639.4%160 W · 246 L-1.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0906…54f4backed CYBERSHOKE Esports23c173.91$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401020%2 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-63.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed CYBERSHOKE Esports22c170.92$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.64,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Team Nemesis80c169.81$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.784,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports11c148.82$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.343,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed CYBERSHOKE Esports12c145.13$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.622,46824.6%607 W · 1,861 L-317.8wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-51.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x40cf…2748backed Team Nemesis80c130$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2616155.9%90 W · 71 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports24c128.92$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.391,30241.2%536 W · 766 L-50.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed CYBERSHOKE Esports41c119.25$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.4450051.4%257 W · 243 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Nemesis61c119$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.582,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x297a…198bbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports36c115$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.646232.3%20 W · 42 L-6.5wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-19.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed CYBERSHOKE Esports18c106$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.925,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x186a…559dbacked Team Nemesis60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408960.7%54 W · 35 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Team Nemesis61c82.25$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.082,62247.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L-33.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8811…627cbacked Team Nemesis77c75$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.5539772.5%288 W · 109 L+38.5wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+10.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Team Nemesis58c74.98$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.241,84847.6%879 W · 969 L-55.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e46…8c1cbacked Team Nemesis56c71.24$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.3423654.7%129 W · 107 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa55c…1066backed CYBERSHOKE Esports38c61.92$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5336649.5%181 W · 185 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed CYBERSHOKE Esports23c53$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.992,36246.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L-53.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f0c…5ad0backed CYBERSHOKE Esports26c52.31$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.610643.4%46 W · 60 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed Team Nemesis56c51.13$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.551348.3%248 W · 265 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26c2…0cdfbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1067547.3%319 W · 356 L-9.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x91ac…5ff3backed CYBERSHOKE Esports27c37.04$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1077146%355 W · 416 L+0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde25…c0a5backed CYBERSHOKE Esports41c37.01$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.222049.1%108 W · 112 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a16…9d73backed CYBERSHOKE Esports44c36.09$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.888344.6%37 W · 46 L-6.5wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-15.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaee7…1e5bbacked Team Nemesis59c36$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7634147.5%162 W · 179 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Team Nemesis77c33.79$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.772,50841%1,029 W · 1,479 L-115.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc263…1e83backed CYBERSHOKE Esports41c31.87$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.134750.7%176 W · 171 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4d1…1ec3backed CYBERSHOKE Esports44c30.7$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.654158.5%24 W · 17 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a60…a744backed Team Nemesis80c27.3$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.463655.6%20 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9444…048ebacked CYBERSHOKE Esports44c24.35$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7514751.7%76 W · 71 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.