Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: G2N (-1.5) vs Eintracht Spandau (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x104dd7d1e56625afa04cb08808fa9da8a881623470f8672fefe26707d59a745d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- G2 NORDof G2 NORD, Eintracht Spandau
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,912
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,853
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,912 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Eintracht Spandau | 43c | 692.63$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.74 | 294 | 47.6%140 W · 154 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed G2 NORD | 57c | 565.05$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.67 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Eintracht Spandau | 43c | 514.64$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.3 | 421 | 43.9%185 W · 236 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked G2 NORD | 57c | 474.18$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.84 | 639 | 44.6%285 W · 354 L | -18.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Eintracht Spandau | 44c | 337.04$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.3 | 1,385 | 45.1%625 W · 760 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdd…e70ebacked Eintracht Spandau | 44c | 113$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.72 | 132 | 40.9%54 W · 78 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked G2 NORD | 51c | 91.65$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.51 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xece0…7dc9backed Eintracht Spandau | 44c | 54.55$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Eintracht Spandau | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1,310 | 49.2%644 W · 666 L | -23.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Eintracht Spandau | 44c | 45.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 296 | 37.8%112 W · 184 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25a4…69f6backed G2 NORD | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 86 | 59.3%51 W · 35 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Eintracht Spandau | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 1,047 | 50.3%527 W · 520 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…10ccbacked Eintracht Spandau | 73c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 209 | 67%140 W · 69 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd9…2c1dbacked Eintracht Spandau | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: G2N (-1.5) vs Eintracht Spandau (+1.5)this page
- LoL: G2 NORD vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - Prime League 1st Division PlayoffsG2 NORD won
- LoL: G2 NORD vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 1 WinnerEintracht Spandau won
- LoL: G2 NORD vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 2 WinnerG2 NORD won
- LoL: G2 NORD vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 3 WinnerG2 NORD won
- LoL: G2 NORD vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 4 WinnerG2 NORD won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.