Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Twisted Minds Orchid vs Barça eSports GC (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x10e1f7949ac7da7bdfd8b50119bec02c1a357e34bd36ac43c2a3c99a28b9b444
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Twisted Minds Orchidof Twisted Minds Orchid, Barça eSports GC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,902
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,512
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,902 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Barça eSports GC | 18c | 1,234$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.07 | 931 | 48.1%448 W · 483 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Barça eSports GC | 19c | 637$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.66 | 565 | 51.2%289 W · 276 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb908…6175backed Twisted Minds Orchid | 72c | 320.25$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.25 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b96…4389backed Twisted Minds Orchid | 70c | 260.64$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.19 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 73cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Barça eSports GC | 17c | 242.72$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.43 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Twisted Minds Orchid | 80c | 232.56$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.96 | 962 | 45.1%434 W · 528 L | -18.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Twisted Minds Orchid | 78c | 226.81$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.86 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Barça eSports GC | 26c | 188.46$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Barça eSports GC | 28c | 159.08$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.54 | 417 | 34.8%145 W · 272 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Barça eSports GC | 30c | 159$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.7 | 281 | 43.4%122 W · 159 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Barça eSports GC | 28c | 141.13$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.11 | 282 | 52.5%148 W · 134 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Twisted Minds Orchid | 74c | 79.99$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Barça eSports GC | 17c | 77.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.18 | 601 | 54.2%326 W · 275 L | +24.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…3373backed Barça eSports GC | 18c | 64.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Barça eSports GC | 26c | 45.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Barça eSports GC | 30c | 37.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 463 | 26.6%123 W · 340 L | -26.0wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb445…e4a3backed Twisted Minds Orchid | 71c | 28.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.13 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Twisted Minds Orchid vs Barça eSports GC (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Group Stagethis page
- Valorant: Twisted Minds Orchid vs Barça eSports GC - Map 2 WinnerTwisted Minds Orchid won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.