Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Manhattan Jaspers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x11334ca1e522f349299f538878beea94cd103d53095b74b17ccdc3fbcfd748e2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Manhattan Jaspersof Manhattan Jaspers, Canisius Golden Griffins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,438
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,526
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,438 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Manhattan Jaspers | 51c | 3,636$1,864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,772.33 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Manhattan Jaspers | 49c | 3,337$1,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,691.19 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Canisius Golden Griffins | 49c | 2,546$1,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,247.54 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Canisius Golden Griffins | 51c | 2,420$1,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,233.9 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b3…0329backed Canisius Golden Griffins | 50c | 1,988$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Canisius Golden Griffins | 11c | 1,213$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.5 | 343 | 43.4%149 W · 194 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Canisius Golden Griffins | 10c | 1,050$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Canisius Golden Griffins | 10c | 254.23$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.42 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Canisius Golden Griffins | 48c | 208.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Canisius Golden Griffins | 49c | 205$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.45 | 574 | 48.3%277 W · 297 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7540…9827backed Canisius Golden Griffins | 50c | 101.7$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.85 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc8c…d58cbacked Manhattan Jaspers | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc3a…e1f0backed Manhattan Jaspers | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 268 | 48.1%129 W · 139 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x384c…f885backed Canisius Golden Griffins | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10ee…c8ddbacked Manhattan Jaspers | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Manhattan Jaspers | 49c | 96.72$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.33 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Manhattan Jaspers | 50c | 90$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 307 | 46.3%142 W · 165 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Canisius Golden Griffins | 47c | 85.94$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.82 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Canisius Golden Griffins | 50c | 71.2$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.71 | 246 | 49.6%122 W · 124 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Manhattan Jaspers | 49c | 70$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 349 | 52.1%182 W · 167 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Manhattan Jaspers | 50c | 60.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.48 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Manhattan Jaspers | 51c | 59$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.65 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Manhattan Jaspers | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57e5…e51ebacked Manhattan Jaspers | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56d8…4218backed Manhattan Jaspers | 61c | 19.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.49 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Manhattan Jaspers (-1.5)this page
- Manhattan Jaspers vs. Canisius Golden GriffinsManhattan Jaspers won
- Manhattan Jaspers vs. Canisius Golden Griffins: O/U 140.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.