Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Manhattan Jaspers vs. Canisius Golden Griffins: O/U 140.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc3651e8df05a07f26f1f227937c3246ec465b4e990027ab4f51c81d0f454d591
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,398
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,577
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,398 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c2b…2575backed Over | 54c | 7,477$4,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,006.48 | 609 | 49.8%303 W · 306 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Under | 45c | 4,837$2,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,660.22 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 47c | 4,140$1,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,213.2 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 55c | 2,770$1,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,523.26 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66b6…159dbacked Under | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.82 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked Over | 54c | 1,863$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 572 | 48.1%275 W · 297 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8461…c6e4backed Over | 53c | 943.38$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 182 | 45.1%82 W · 100 L | -15.9wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Under | 48c | 781.25$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.25 | 564 | 44.1%249 W · 315 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 46c | 527.08$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.62 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 46c | 505.5$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.97 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 46c | 269.62$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.73 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9351…ef0fbacked Under | 55c | 258.28$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.14 | 137 | 43.8%60 W · 77 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 42c | 233.27$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.37 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a97…c1f9backed Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 219 | 55.3%121 W · 98 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Under | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…eb34backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48a9…edd7backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dee…f426backed Under | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7715…ada4backed Over | 52c | 58.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.43 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -10.2wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 50c | 58.28$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.14 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf71b…7370backed Under | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 50c | 48.61$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.31 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ceb…b516backed Under | 50c | 45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…06c5backed Over | 51c | 39.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 427 | 51.8%221 W · 206 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x971c…f72cbacked Under | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Manhattan Jaspers vs. Canisius Golden Griffins: O/U 140.5this page
- Manhattan Jaspers vs. Canisius Golden GriffinsManhattan Jaspers won
- Spread: Manhattan Jaspers (-1.5)Manhattan Jaspers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.