CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs OLDBOYS- - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x11703de9a4be8602ea9c49cf7f9df1111ce27b431f5ba9f8af702e4bd4ca2824
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Donstu Esportsof Donstu Esports, OLDBOYS-
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,981
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,224
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,981 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked OLDBOYS- | 41c | 2,249$911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911.16 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde8f…2c72backed Donstu Esports | 63c | 1,275$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.44 | 280 | 56.4%158 W · 122 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked Donstu Esports | 48c | 759.39$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.74 | 750 | 56.8%426 W · 324 L | +47.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked OLDBOYS- | 50c | 485$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.5 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f17…7035backed Donstu Esports | 48c | 431.53$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.4 | 454 | 65.9%299 W · 155 L | +20.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa16b…b541backed OLDBOYS- | 54c | 386.98$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.97 | 434 | 55.1%239 W · 195 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked OLDBOYS- | 39c | 250.35$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.13 | 275 | 49.5%136 W · 139 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5407…251cbacked Donstu Esports | 46c | 247.22$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.5 | 148 | 57.4%85 W · 63 L | +11.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed Donstu Esports | 46c | 127.68$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.95 | 168 | 50.6%85 W · 83 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked OLDBOYS- | 36c | 111.56$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.51 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Donstu Esports | 37c | 81.38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.27 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3d…c37ebacked OLDBOYS- | 54c | 71.4$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.91 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdded…13a2backed Donstu Esports | 50c | 71.32$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.96 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Donstu Esports | 37c | 40.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.7 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed Donstu Esports | 47c | 36.77$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.35 | 447 | 48.1%215 W · 232 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93af…32abbacked OLDBOYS- | 37c | 28.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs OLDBOYS- - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs OLDBOYS- (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 PlayoffsOLDBOYS- won
- Counter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs OLDBOYS- - Map 1 WinnerOLDBOYS- won
- Map Handicap: OLDBOYS- (-1.5) vs Donstu Esports (+1.5)Donstu Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.