Tennis · resolved market
Vancouver: Moyuka Uchijima vs Miho Kuramochi
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x118fe476d08af42d6a463da967737740d931d6305f2a63db50c84c4d0a9c425d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Moyuka Uchijimaof Moyuka Uchijima, Miho Kuramochi
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,615
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,684
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,615 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3556…af4fbacked Miho Kuramochi | 8c | 1,203$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.94 | 277 | 24.9%69 W · 208 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Miho Kuramochi | 6c | 852.01$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.98 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Miho Kuramochi | 23c | 366.1$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.2 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Miho Kuramochi | 19c | 203.23$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.61 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Miho Kuramochi | 9c | 129.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6847…f1eabacked Moyuka Uchijima | 79c | 125.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.46 | 137 | 70.1%96 W · 41 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Moyuka Uchijima | 77c | 100.9$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.9 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Miho Kuramochi | 12c | 98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 431 | 44.8%193 W · 238 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x297d…6d63backed Miho Kuramochi | 21c | 78.76$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Miho Kuramochi | 22c | 65.17$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Moyuka Uchijima | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Moyuka Uchijima | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Moyuka Uchijima | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…226cbacked Moyuka Uchijima | 80c | 62.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 235 | 81.7%192 W · 43 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 80cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Moyuka Uchijima | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Miho Kuramochi | 20c | 52.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Moyuka Uchijima | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Moyuka Uchijima | 79c | 29.24$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.14 | 186 | 66.7%124 W · 62 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Moyuka Uchijima | 78c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe4…f12fbacked Moyuka Uchijima | 77c | 21.44$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 586 | 65.5%384 W · 202 L | +18.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Moyuka Uchijima | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 690 | 47%324 W · 366 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Moyuka Uchijima | 80c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.6 | 305 | 54.4%166 W · 139 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Vancouver: Moyuka Uchijima vs Miho Kuramochithis page
- Set 1 Winner: Uchijima vs KuramochiUchijima won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.