Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Kopriva vs Rinderknech
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x118fe57ddacc7d7c69f85c24195c535acaa21c758b0de0c66bdc17eea29d33b4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Koprivaof Kopriva, Rinderknech
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,242
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,541
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,242 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2f01…fa78backed Rinderknech | 49c | 5,461$2,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,675.86 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa16a…33a1backed Kopriva | 51c | 4,453$2,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,181.89 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +5.2wins | +0.29per pick | 54cpaid | +74%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Rinderknech | 3c | 583.13$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.09 | 93 | 22.6%21 W · 72 L | -13.7wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xad6c…586bbacked Rinderknech | 38c | 506.71$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.56 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Kopriva | 50c | 434.54$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.25 | 9,231 | 44.3%4,088 W · 5,143 L | -241.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa1…a420backed Kopriva | 47c | 196.7$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.74 | 512 | 36.5%187 W · 325 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5462…fe43backed Rinderknech | 75c | 196.57$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.77 | 73 | 60.3%44 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Rinderknech | 53c | 153.19$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.19 | 7,710 | 47.8%3,685 W · 4,025 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9531…18ffbacked Rinderknech | 21c | 101.7$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 116 | 41.4%48 W · 68 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69b9…a5d5backed Kopriva | 73c | 94.44$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 196 | 57.1%112 W · 84 L | +12.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Rinderknech | 25c | 71$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.61 | 4,584 | 48.3%2,215 W · 2,369 L | +35.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Kopriva | 71c | 58.59$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.76 | 3,631 | 54.9%1,995 W · 1,636 L | +110.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc8…bdb8backed Kopriva | 51c | 38.06$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.65 | 152 | 63.8%97 W · 55 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…6f57backed Rinderknech | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 127 | 33.9%43 W · 84 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Kopriva | 51c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 257 | 37%95 W · 162 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Kopriva | 62c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7061…b4aebacked Rinderknech | 73c | 22.77$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.53 | 138 | 56.5%78 W · 60 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Rinderknech | 62c | 19.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb239…80b4backed Rinderknech | 57c | 19.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Rinderknech | 71c | 19.65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 6,411 | 54.4%3,486 W · 2,925 L | +283.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Kopriva vs Rinderknechthis page
- Kopriva vs. Rinderknech: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Kopriva vs. Rinderknech: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Kopriva vs. Rinderknech: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Over won
- Madrid Open: Vit Kopriva vs Arthur RinderknechVit Kopriva won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.