CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs ODDIK (BO3) - Circuit X Pantanal Cuiabá Group C
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x119187946a2e5434f14e7736b0fac1b215276925c741bf77012dca1d11157270
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sharksof Sharks, ODDIK
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,667
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,667 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x95cd…c211backed ODDIK | 33c | 5,000$1,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,674.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee1…1650backed Sharks | 40c | 4,000$1,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,396.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +149.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ee…a8b6backed Sharks | 67c | 1,780$1,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d71…241dbacked Sharks | 67c | 1,720$1,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81e0…6b15backed Sharks | 67c | 1,500$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfc…9df4backed ODDIK | 60c | 1,360$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…a09ebacked ODDIK | 60c | 1,340$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12f5…0463backed ODDIK | 60c | 1,300$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed ODDIK | 50c | 694.38$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.46 | 659 | 46.9%309 W · 350 L | +18.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ODDIK | 30c | 679.31$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.79 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc2…64d1backed Sharks | 49c | 539.33$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.02 | 209 | 42.1%88 W · 121 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Sharks | 54c | 222.35$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.85 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked ODDIK | 43c | 180.13$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 1,087 | 31.9%347 W · 740 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87a3…5857backed Sharks | 51c | 98$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.02 | 194 | 47.4%92 W · 102 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked ODDIK | 14c | 87.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30d4…22cabacked ODDIK | 47c | 85.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c26…affabacked Sharks | 79c | 50.39$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.39 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Sharks | 74c | 23.76$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 960 | 49.7%477 W · 483 L | -18.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81c…0a81backed ODDIK | 58c | 23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bbb…2948backed Sharks | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 170 | 70%119 W · 51 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.