CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs FOKUS - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x11ceeb21af8b475de19404534ef97d389e6faef24f953206b3534f9538131bd6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Passion UAof Passion UA, FOKUS
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,523
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,295
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,523 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2529…548abacked FOKUS | 15c | 1,102$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.55 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked FOKUS | 56c | 500$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.5 | 558 | 43.5%243 W · 315 L | -16.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Passion UA | 44c | 495$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.75 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2c23backed Passion UA | 43c | 468.77$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.77 | 299 | 34.4%103 W · 196 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Passion UA | 77c | 398.12$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.47 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed FOKUS | 25c | 300.8$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.04 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…d10dbacked Passion UA | 48c | 270.83$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.83 | 530 | 34.7%184 W · 346 L | -32.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed FOKUS | 52c | 270.83$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.13 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07f9…1513backed Passion UA | 47c | 263.9$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.87 | 443 | 43.3%192 W · 251 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked FOKUS | 54c | 263.9$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.37 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed FOKUS | 34c | 174$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.65 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked FOKUS | 30c | 134.87$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.82 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked FOKUS | 68c | 106$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.08 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Passion UA | 75c | 101.32$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.33 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa442…dca3backed Passion UA | 53c | 47.41$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.41 | 302 | 54.3%164 W · 138 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b60…76d5backed FOKUS | 58c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | -33.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e47…5024backed Passion UA | 59c | 32.86$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.49 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed FOKUS | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed FOKUS | 68c | 26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs FOKUS - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs FOKUS (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2: Closed Qualifier PlayoffsFOKUS won
- Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs FOKUS - Map 1 WinnerFOKUS won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: FOKUS (-1.5) vs Passion UA (+1.5)Passion UA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.