TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Damac Saudi Club: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,391
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,487

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,391 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Over42c142.05$60 inLost-$59.61,25451.4%644 W · 610 L+9.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3cf…493bbacked Under56c131.87$74 inWon+$58.024566.7%30 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under78c114.99$90 inWon+$25.321449.1%105 W · 109 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Over23c79.38$18 inLost-$1847155.8%263 W · 208 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over48c73.81$35 inLost-$35.492,42438%920 W · 1,504 L+0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Under76c65.19$50 inWon+$15.6589955.1%495 W · 404 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Under53c62$33 inWon+$29.431457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+19.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under53c54.11$29 inWon+$25.662652.6%329 W · 297 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under56c45$25 inWon+$19.91,02841.7%429 W · 599 L-31.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xab9f…75f1backed Under54c40$22 inWon+$18.253831.6%12 W · 26 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-23.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over47c39.38$18 inLost-$18.3239561.8%244 W · 151 L+56.1wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+33.3%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x204f…ba2cbacked Over37c30$11 inLost-$11.16468.8%44 W · 20 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5660…1707backed Under73c23.12$17 inWon+$6.245100%5 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+108.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Under69c17.68$12 inWon+$5.4779435.1%279 W · 515 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x576c…f218backed Under76c13.17$10 inWon+$3.175660.7%34 W · 22 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick53cpaid-10%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.