Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Kentucky Wildcats (-10.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x122e413ffa129c76e2410fd5ec43a1bb4108ccb96f8ccd16b1c849af4b3026af
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Missouri Tigersof Kentucky Wildcats, Missouri Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,711
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,711
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,711 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Kentucky Wildcats | 56c | 825.41$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.11 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Missouri Tigers | 43c | 461.14$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.85 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa097…fba7backed Missouri Tigers | 44c | 300$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kentucky Wildcats | 59c | 282$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.56 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Missouri Tigers | 40c | 183$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.8 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…b4a3backed Kentucky Wildcats | 57c | 137$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.09 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…223fbacked Kentucky Wildcats | 57c | 122$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.54 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…ecf3backed Kentucky Wildcats | 57c | 110$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.7 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbb…1594backed Kentucky Wildcats | 58c | 106$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.48 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Missouri Tigers | 42c | 92$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.7 | 1,124 | 46.4%521 W · 603 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaad7…5557backed Missouri Tigers | 45c | 58.8$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.34 | 115 | 36.5%42 W · 73 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7483…96a6backed Missouri Tigers | 43c | 43$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.51 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df7…a8edbacked Missouri Tigers | 43c | 38$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.66 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6098…d746backed Missouri Tigers | 43c | 36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.52 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fc…c985backed Missouri Tigers | 43c | 29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.53 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9255…87a4backed Missouri Tigers | 43c | 28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08a7…e161backed Missouri Tigers | 43c | 28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +5.1wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5c…1f57backed Missouri Tigers | 43c | 27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.39 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f8…667fbacked Missouri Tigers | 43c | 27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.39 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c1…090dbacked Missouri Tigers | 43c | 26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.82 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8358…956bbacked Missouri Tigers | 43c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Kentucky Wildcats (-10.5)this page
- Missouri Tigers vs. Kentucky WildcatsMissouri Tigers won
- Missouri Tigers vs. Kentucky Wildcats: O/U 151.5Under won
- Missouri Tigers vs. Kentucky Wildcats: O/U 154.5Under won
- Spread: Kentucky Wildcats (-12.5)Missouri Tigers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.