Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Missouri Tigers vs. Kentucky Wildcats
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x24b1ce6da9b7e57645463d08a4e55221d5daac6fb5911adacbc2b96659e409a8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Missouri Tigersof Missouri Tigers, Kentucky Wildcats
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,974
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,684
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,974 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Missouri Tigers | 13c | 5,695$753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,942.42 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dca…a7acbacked Missouri Tigers | 39c | 5,591$2,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,412.46 | 252 | 54.8%138 W · 114 L | -15.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Kentucky Wildcats | 79c | 5,130$4,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,067.04 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Missouri Tigers | 14c | 2,562$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,196.45 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8366…21ebbacked Kentucky Wildcats | 44c | 2,432$1,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,070.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Kentucky Wildcats | 49c | 2,309$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125.07 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Missouri Tigers | 60c | 1,902$1,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.34 | 464 | 46.8%217 W · 247 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Missouri Tigers | 9c | 1,859$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,683.43 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Kentucky Wildcats | 39c | 1,329$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.36 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked Missouri Tigers | 14c | 1,143$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$982.86 | 77 | 27.3%21 W · 56 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdb…a90dbacked Missouri Tigers | 22c | 1,020$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$793.89 | 149 | 25.5%38 W · 111 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Missouri Tigers | 12c | 916.05$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806.12 | 529 | 28.4%150 W · 379 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Kentucky Wildcats | 15c | 914.48$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.41 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Missouri Tigers | 23c | 827.63$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.38 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Missouri Tigers | 13c | 798.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.34 | 181 | 29.3%53 W · 128 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Kentucky Wildcats | 65c | 613.07$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.97 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Missouri Tigers | 13c | 599.99$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.99 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x929c…fe32backed Missouri Tigers | 20c | 511.6$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +155.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Missouri Tigers | 20c | 498$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.4 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Missouri Tigers | 30c | 444$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.69 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Kentucky Wildcats | 72c | 301.44$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.87 | 323 | 43%139 W · 184 L | -18.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Missouri Tigers | 13c | 299.97$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.98 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Kentucky Wildcats | 74c | 298.75$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.92 | 456 | 44.5%203 W · 253 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Kentucky Wildcats | 79c | 290.37$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.14 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a45…41f6backed Missouri Tigers | 14c | 285.71$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.71 | 114 | 44.7%51 W · 63 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Kentucky Wildcats | 13c | 281.24$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.36 | 369 | 42.3%156 W · 213 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Missouri Tigers | 22c | 279$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.32 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8242…d187backed Missouri Tigers | 20c | 245.75$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.75 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.84per pick | 16cpaid | +551.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Kentucky Wildcats | 73c | 244.43$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.41 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed Kentucky Wildcats | 74c | 229.85$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.67 | 158 | 61.4%97 W · 61 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Kentucky Wildcats | 78c | 210$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.8 | 123 | 58.5%72 W · 51 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Missouri Tigers | 18c | 201$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.77 | 181 | 47%85 W · 96 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56be…57eebacked Kentucky Wildcats | 78c | 194$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.32 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Kentucky Wildcats | 27c | 159.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.98 | 399 | 3.3%13 W · 386 L | -21.0wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -89.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Missouri Tigers | 21c | 130.6$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.67 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Missouri Tigers | 13c | 111.2$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.74 | 378 | 35.7%135 W · 243 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Missouri Tigers | 14c | 102.15$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.01 | 213 | 42.3%90 W · 123 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Missouri Tigers | 60c | 101.71$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.41 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Missouri Tigers | 22c | 101.63$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.39 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Missouri Tigers | 36c | 100.76$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.26 | 643 | 22.9%147 W · 496 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca6d…492bbacked Missouri Tigers | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.96 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Kentucky Wildcats | 65c | 53.6$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.84 | 227 | 56.4%128 W · 99 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe32c…db1bbacked Kentucky Wildcats | 57c | 50.41$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.61 | 44 | 6.8%3 W · 41 L | -13.8wins | -0.31per pick | 38cpaid | -88.7%equal weight | 28-0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6b…ba21backed Missouri Tigers | 66c | 40.62$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.82 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Missouri Tigers | 27c | 40.41$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.53 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1760…c4edbacked Kentucky Wildcats | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aea…5590backed Kentucky Wildcats | 80c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 158 | 44.3%70 W · 88 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Missouri Tigers vs. Kentucky Wildcatsthis page
- Missouri Tigers vs. Kentucky Wildcats: O/U 151.5Under won
- Missouri Tigers vs. Kentucky Wildcats: O/U 154.5Under won
- Spread: Kentucky Wildcats (-10.5)Missouri Tigers won
- Spread: Kentucky Wildcats (-12.5)Missouri Tigers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.