Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Rhode Island Rams (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x12dc14d9fbc768ab4d20ef53a11a9b3268b641cf17b474fe56a5a63bcfe29874
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Saint Joseph's Hawksof Rhode Island Rams, Saint Joseph's Hawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,442
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,950
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,442 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Rhode Island Rams | 52c | 6,569$3,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,415.79 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Saint Joseph's Hawks | 48c | 2,030$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,055.66 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aba…4961backed Saint Joseph's Hawks | 48c | 1,983$952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.91 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Rhode Island Rams | 38c | 1,925$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.66 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Rhode Island Rams | 38c | 1,789$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.8 | 343 | 43.4%149 W · 194 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Saint Joseph's Hawks | 53c | 1,342$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.34 | 740 | 51.5%381 W · 359 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Rhode Island Rams | 47c | 1,111$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.17 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x198c…6a94backed Rhode Island Rams | 53c | 638.9$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.18 | 188 | 46.8%88 W · 100 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Saint Joseph's Hawks | 47c | 140.2$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.3 | 852 | 48.8%416 W · 436 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Rhode Island Rams | 38c | 130.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.59 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Saint Joseph's Hawks | 46c | 125$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Rhode Island Rams | 38c | 104.4$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.67 | 322 | 46.6%150 W · 172 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Saint Joseph's Hawks | 48c | 104.16$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.16 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Saint Joseph's Hawks | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Rhode Island Rams | 38c | 51.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 646 | 47.5%307 W · 339 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Saint Joseph's Hawks | 48c | 48.48$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.21 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Rhode Island Rams (-3.5)this page
- Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. Rhode Island RamsSaint Joseph's Hawks won
- Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. Rhode Island Rams: O/U 141.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.