Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Baez (-1.5) vs Brooksby (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x12ea00bbfd310c3b640824dd255599a97e2d4ed32fe0ed48eac2b77ed98c44c6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Baezof Baez, Brooksby
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,983
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,801
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,983 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x48de…95babacked Brooksby | 49c | 1,295$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634 | 625 | 45.4%284 W · 341 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Baez | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 977 | 45.2%442 W · 535 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Baez | 53c | 345.75$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.5 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Baez | 50c | 327$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.09 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Brooksby | 36c | 319.22$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.14 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Brooksby | 45c | 277.04$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.05 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Baez | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 247 | 47.4%117 W · 130 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Baez | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Baez | 49c | 176.41$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.97 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed Brooksby | 47c | 141.64$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.57 | 115 | 50.4%58 W · 57 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Brooksby | 49c | 102$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,428 | 48.2%689 W · 739 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Brooksby | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 1,245 | 51.9%646 W · 599 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e4e…2564backed Baez | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe092…d209backed Brooksby | 49c | 82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.18 | 191 | 42.4%81 W · 110 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Brooksby | 47c | 75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.25 | 1,001 | 45.4%454 W · 547 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked Baez | 62c | 69.42$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.42 | 736 | 48.1%354 W · 382 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed Brooksby | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Brooksby | 49c | 61.21$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Baez | 52c | 60.79$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.32 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbaa…59b8backed Baez | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 324 | 48.1%156 W · 168 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Brooksby | 36c | 55.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 269 | 51.3%138 W · 131 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5f…8eadbacked Baez | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c2e5backed Baez | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 300 | 53.3%160 W · 140 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Baez | 51c | 45.28$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.19 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0045…9007backed Baez | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 265 | 48.7%129 W · 136 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Brooksby | 45c | 36.68$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.51 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf677…0e56backed Baez | 53c | 31.56$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.76 | 283 | 50.5%143 W · 140 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97a1…d1eebacked Brooksby | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Baez | 52c | 23.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2953…2ed5backed Baez | 53c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 348 | 51.1%178 W · 170 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Baez (-1.5) vs Brooksby (+1.5)this page
- Brooksby vs. Baez: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jenson Brooksby vs Sebastian BaezSebastian Baez won
- Jenson Brooksby vs. Sebastian Baez: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Brooksby vs BaezBaez won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.